NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	4.3 [937]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +18.5%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.1 [1068]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -7.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.23	0.01	0.06	14	93%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	15	57%	0.04	6	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.01	-0.08	19	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	17	47%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	0.09	18	76%	0.10	8	-0.17	18	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	30.8	15.8	25.5	2.5	32.5	133.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.1%

POR +1.2%

POR +14.6%

POR +20.3%

DET -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	15.5	105.1	100.0	100.9
season	15.8	14.3		103.9	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	14.7	14.3	19.6	15.9
DET	14.3	13.5	14.0	13.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-7	21	15.5	17.9	-2.44	13.9	12.9	1.04
Rasheed Wallace	85	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	4	-1	15.8	16.9	-1.15	13.7	13.9	-0.14
Steven Smith	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	6	-5	16.2	15.5	0.63	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Shawn Kemp	42	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	6	-5	16.0	15.9	0.12	13.9	13.6	0.24
Greg Anthony	40	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	16.9	15.2	1.73	13.7	13.8	-0.08
Dale Davis	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	0	7	17.4	14.5	2.88	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Damon Stoudamire	64	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	7	-7	15.8	16.1	-0.33	13.5	14.2	-0.77
Stacey Augmon	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	1	5	15.6	16.2	-0.56	14.0	13.5	0.55
Arvydas Sabonis	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	4	-1	13.0	16.7	-3.67	14.1	13.6	0.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	28	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-9	11	13.7	13.7	0.01	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Chucky Atkins	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-13	19	12.2	14.2	-2.06	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Mikki Moore	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	12.3	14.1	-1.76	17.6	15.5	2.15
Joe Smith	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-14	21	13.5	14.3	-0.81	16.2	15.4	0.79
Dana Barros	51	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-6	5	14.3	13.1	1.22	16.5	15.3	1.14
Billy Owens	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	1	-9	13.7	13.8	-0.10	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Jud Buechler	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	0	-7	14.0	13.6	0.37	15.8	16.0	-0.14
Mateen Cleaves	27	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	13.3	13.9	-0.62	17.2	15.4	1.82
Eric Montross	32	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	7	-21	14.3	13.5	0.81	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Ben Wallace	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	14.1	12.3	1.76	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Jerry Stackhouse	89	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	13.9	11.9	2.03	16.0	15.6	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
BOS 100, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CHI 93, ATL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%