NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	2.8 [1224]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +14.6%
Atlanta Hawks	73		Comeback	1.0 [1005]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -7.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.01	16	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	49%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	47%	-0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	33.2	19.5	30.3	2.7	28.0	141.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.0%

ATL -1.4%

ATL -3.4%

CHI +9.1%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	17.5	15.5	109.4	85.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	14.5	18.1	16.5	16.4
ATL	17.6	15.5	17.9	19.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	-2	24	16.8	14.7	2.15	18.5	13.8	4.63
Derrick Rose	64	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-4	28	16.7	15.3	1.35	18.3	15.0	3.26
Carlos Boozer	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	2	16	16.8	15.2	1.63	17.4	18.0	-0.60
Joakim Noah	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	10	0	17.2	15.4	1.71	18.8	16.0	2.83
Keith Bogans	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	6	8	17.3	15.6	1.72	18.4	16.9	1.50
Omer Asik	39	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	10	0	15.1	17.4	-2.26	16.4	18.4	-2.00
Ronnie Brewer	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	15	-10	15.2	17.0	-1.78	16.9	17.8	-0.91
Taj Gibson	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	18	-16	15.7	16.6	-0.95	17.2	17.6	-0.41
Kyle Korver	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	21	-22	15.5	17.0	-1.58	15.4	19.1	-3.71
CJ Watson	21	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	24	-28	15.3	16.7	-1.35	15.0	18.3	-3.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	16.0	17.7	-1.71	16.9	16.3	0.62
Damien Wilkins	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	15.1	17.8	-2.65	17.0	16.3	0.72
Pape Sy	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	16.0	17.7	-1.71	16.9	16.3	0.62
Hilton Armstrong	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	16.0	17.7	-1.71	16.9	16.3	0.62
Marvin Williams	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-21	22	16.1	18.2	-2.13	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Zaza Pachulia	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-13	6	16.5	18.7	-2.18	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Jeff Teague	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-9	-2	18.7	16.4	2.31	16.8	16.0	0.84
Jason Collins	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-7	-6	18.6	17.0	1.60	16.5	16.3	0.25
Jamal Crawford	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-3	-14	17.4	17.6	-0.23	15.7	17.1	-1.44
Al Horford	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	1	-22	17.4	17.9	-0.48	16.6	15.7	0.85
Joe Johnson	73	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.22	-24	4	-28	18.1	14.3	3.72	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Josh Smith	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	4	-28	18.1	15.3	2.86	16.6	15.4	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, NOK 68	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NYK 109, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHA 91, GSW 75	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%