NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	4.9 [880]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +13.0%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	1.1 [654]		LVP	Sonny Weems (TOR): -12.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	24	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	6	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	7	43%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	18	49%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	14	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	19	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	30.5	16.4	22.6	2.5	27.5	128.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.9%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +1.0%

NYK +3.6%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.5	119.6	105.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.1		108.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	13.3	16.6	18.0	15.4
TOR	16.4	13.9	12.8	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.16	24	-7	31	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.8	14.5	0.29
Danilo Gallinari	83	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-2	21	15.2	16.5	-1.27	15.1	13.2	1.86
Landry Fields	74	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	4	9	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Wilson Chandler	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.15	17	0	17	16.0	14.1	1.82	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Raymond Felton	77	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	5	7	15.4	15.3	0.14	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Shawne Williams	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	9	-1	15.7	15.2	0.43	15.5	14.2	1.29
Toney Douglas	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	18	-19	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.1	14.4	0.76
Timofey Mozgov	20	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	24	-31	15.0	15.5	-0.52	14.5	14.8	-0.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	33	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-23	29	13.7	15.3	-1.64	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Julian Wright	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.5	14.7	-0.24	17.0	15.4	1.64
Joey Dorsey	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.5	14.7	-0.24	17.0	15.4	1.64
Jerryd Bayless	52	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-19	21	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.7	15.0	0.70
DeMar DeRozan	73	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.18	14.9	17.2	-2.27
Leandro Barbosa	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-11	5	15.2	14.3	0.84	15.5	15.4	0.08
Linas Kleiza	19	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-11	5	16.6	14.3	2.31	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Amir Johnson	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-2	-13	14.4	16.1	-1.68	15.8	13.7	2.08
Sonny Weems	48	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-2	-13	14.4	15.1	-0.73	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Andrea Bargnani	63	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	2	-21	15.4	13.5	1.91	15.9	14.5	1.40
Jose Calderon	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	8	-33	15.4	13.8	1.54	16.1	14.5	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHH 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
PHX 124, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.8%