inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 90 Excitement2.3 [1224] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +11.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 106 Comeback1.0 [1239] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -6.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mills0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.06350%0.012-0.01450%0.00
Cedric Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02440%0.0000.0020%0.00
Marc Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00362%-0.001-0.01250%-0.00
Larry Hughes-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.001346%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03540%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.061535%-0.021-0.02450%-0.01
Bob Sura-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01636%-0.031-0.01250%-0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01831%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011742%-0.041-0.014100%0.01
Danny Fortson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.06650%-0.005-0.06683%-0.01
Jason Richardson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.031239%-0.032-0.03450%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.180.000.061482%0.121-0.016100%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.000.03-0.071559%0.123-0.02450%-0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.013117%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.02375%0.0200.002100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02750%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04850%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01557%0.0100.004100%0.01
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Joe Crispin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03445%-0.001-0.003100%-0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.0410%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03844%-0.012-0.012100%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.04739%-0.022-0.02475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.826.516.026.32.630.3129.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +46.3%
LAL +2.8%
GSW -6.3%
LAL +6.7%
LAL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game15.615.115.694.7114.0102.3
season14.715.3100.7106.9
opponent15.415.199.8106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.415.416.913.815.6
LAL13.017.314.415.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Jackson1312-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-212611.116.3-5.2213.015.4-2.36
Cedric Henderson1918-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-212612.316.4-4.1412.815.6-2.75
Chris Mills3937-0.03-0.470.44-0.268-243214.616.2-1.6316.114.31.80
Adonal Foyle2019-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-151417.715.02.7517.614.43.24
Bob Sura2525-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-141214.416.0-1.5517.214.32.94
Troy Murphy2727-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-9216.115.40.7416.014.71.33
Mookie Blaylock2728-0.17-0.330.170.01-6-10417.514.82.7118.613.55.08
Danny Fortson5756-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-4-815.216.2-0.9613.717.1-3.46
Larry Hughes6865-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-6-414.817.5-2.7113.518.6-5.08
Jason Richardson4343-0.36-0.14-0.210.23-204-2417.414.13.3613.816.1-2.35
Erick Dampier6160-0.46-0.04-0.420.10-193-2215.715.30.4414.815.4-0.57
Antawn Jamison7675-0.50-0.00-0.500.12-215-2616.412.34.1415.612.82.75

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal50480.450.050.40-0.1721-52614.515.7-1.1117.014.12.96
Rick Fox47480.370.130.24-0.2722-62813.716.5-2.7816.614.52.07
Lindsey Hunter45450.360.140.23-0.1618-22014.815.3-0.5817.014.32.74
Samaki Walker52540.340.160.18-0.131601614.615.7-1.0816.214.81.45
Kobe Bryant51530.320.180.150.00115614.915.2-0.3415.815.20.61
Robert Horry29290.180.32-0.15-0.0379-217.114.12.9816.015.40.56
Mitch Richmond37380.170.33-0.16-0.00610-416.314.22.1116.514.91.58
Brian Shaw39400.140.36-0.220.11115-1415.314.90.4814.016.7-2.68
Devean George46470.130.37-0.240.31-622-2816.513.72.7814.516.6-2.07
Jelani McCoy28300.030.47-0.450.23-723-3016.314.51.8114.616.0-1.43
Slava Medvedenko27290.010.49-0.480.16-521-2613.415.7-2.3212.616.9-4.26
Joe Crispin14140.000.50-0.500.12-420-2412.415.5-3.0911.816.2-4.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 104, ATL 1210.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
ATL 86, PHI 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
CHI 89, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%