NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	2.2 [1271]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +12.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	1.1 [879]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (CHI): -7.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	11	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	12	41%	-0.01	6	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	19	61%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	11	79%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.09	12	64%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	28.1	14.4	25.4	1.7	25.4	121.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.4%

MIN +10.5%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.8	92.7	121.9	107.7
season	15.1	15.3		105.9	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	14.8	13.9	14.6	14.6
MIN	12.6	18.0	16.1	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Canaan	35	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-22	16	14.4	14.7	-0.26	16.9	14.5	2.37
Cristiano Felicio	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-17	6	13.7	15.5	-1.81	16.5	14.3	2.25
Bobby Portis	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-19	10	13.9	15.9	-2.03	16.5	13.5	2.98
Denzel Valentine	45	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-13	-2	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.6	15.2	0.33
Michael Carter-Williams	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-19	10	14.6	14.6	-0.03	15.5	15.2	0.28
Jerian Grant	40	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-16	4	15.5	13.9	1.60	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Rajon Rondo	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.31	-20	-8	-12	13.9	15.3	-1.37	16.1	14.7	1.31
Taj Gibson	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-9	-10	15.9	13.9	2.03	13.5	16.5	-2.98
Robin Lopez	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-11	-6	15.5	13.7	1.81	14.3	16.5	-2.25
Doug McDermott	61	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-6	-16	14.7	14.4	0.26	14.5	16.9	-2.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	64	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	2	24	14.8	16.7	-1.87	14.9	14.0	0.85
Gorgui Dieng	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	12	4	14.9	16.6	-1.64	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Karl-Anthony Towns	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	2	24	14.5	17.8	-3.35	14.9	13.9	0.98
Andrew Wiggins	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	10	8	15.0	16.4	-1.39	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Brandon Rush	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	17	-6	15.2	15.8	-0.57	14.8	14.3	0.42
Shabazz Muhammad	37	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.28	17	11	6	15.8	15.2	0.57	14.3	14.8	-0.42
Lance Stephenson	28	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	18	-8	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.7	14.5	0.20
Nemanja Bjelica	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.23	12	16	-4	16.9	14.4	2.51	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Kris Dunn	26	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	27	-26	16.8	14.9	1.92	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Cole Aldrich	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	26	-24	17.7	14.9	2.78	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Tyus Jones	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	16.0	15.4	0.63	13.0	14.7	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 102, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	97.6%
DEN 114, PHX 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 96, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%