inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement2.5 [1263] MVPJoe Johnson (PHX): +20.3%
Phoenix Suns 128 Comeback1.1 [1217] LVPEarl Boykins (DEN): -7.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.140.000.081777%0.113-0.051392%0.03
Voshon Lenard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041156%0.0000.00367%0.00
Francisco Elson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06580%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02450%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Wesley Person-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nene-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.021041%-0.011-0.01250%-0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.031854%-0.012-0.03580%-0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.0430%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.040.000.021255%-0.033-0.037100%0.02
Earl Boykins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.06911%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.210.000.011493%0.212-0.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.011364%0.0710.022100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01380%0.031-0.00475%0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.021450%0.021-0.014100%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.012133%0.054-0.042100%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.06487%0.0100.0000%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.041462%0.034-0.031471%-0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Shirley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02558%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01862%-0.015-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.03.432.719.427.20.228.0138.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +47.0%
DEN -3.0%
DEN -5.9%
PHX +12.1%
DEN -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHXNBADENPHXNBA
this game13.713.015.5106.5117.4104.0
season14.813.5103.8112.9
opponent16.015.6106.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.112.313.015.113.7
PHX11.115.313.112.613.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson560.00-0.500.50-0.3211-253613.413.7-0.2813.713.00.70
Bryon Russell98-0.02-0.480.470.10-4-10614.913.61.3410.513.2-2.71
Voshon Lenard3941-0.02-0.480.46-0.3411-253613.613.7-0.0813.312.80.53
Greg Buckner4447-0.18-0.320.15-0.387-212812.614.4-1.7413.812.41.41
DerMarr Johnson2726-0.23-0.270.040.18-140-1414.913.21.6910.713.7-2.99
Earl Boykins5556-0.24-0.260.03-0.09-5-9413.713.70.0213.013.00.02
Wesley Person4039-0.25-0.250.010.37-217-2813.913.50.4612.513.3-0.73
Eduardo Najera5655-0.27-0.23-0.050.22-173-2013.813.50.3712.213.9-1.71
Nene4950-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-195-2414.413.11.3413.612.51.09
Andre Miller6566-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-5-413.513.9-0.4413.512.21.28
Carmelo Anthony8286-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.444-182213.314.8-1.4313.511.02.55
Kenyon Martin6465-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-140-1413.414.0-0.6012.713.5-0.78

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson80790.460.040.42-0.2123-93212.514.5-2.0113.813.30.51
Shawn Marion72710.450.050.39-0.0818-42212.813.5-0.7213.513.9-0.42
Amar'e Stoudemire78770.390.110.28-0.0816-21812.813.4-0.5713.713.60.09
Quentin Richardson72710.310.190.11-0.2218-42213.013.00.0514.012.91.08
Leandro Barbosa48480.290.210.09-0.061221012.413.5-1.1714.413.01.40
Jim Jackson63630.250.250.000.19212-1013.212.80.3513.014.7-1.69
Steve Nash61590.210.29-0.090.15212-1013.512.41.1713.014.4-1.40
Steven Hunter25250.110.39-0.28-0.1595413.412.90.4613.613.7-0.03
Walter McCarty23220.040.46-0.43-0.05311-814.512.61.8613.713.70.02
Bo Outlaw11100.000.50-0.500.32-1125-3614.112.91.2015.513.52.03
Jake Voskuhl650.000.50-0.500.32-1125-3613.713.00.7013.413.7-0.28
Paul Shirley650.000.50-0.500.32-1125-3613.713.00.7013.413.7-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 81, HOU 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
IND 90, BOS 1100.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
ORL 93, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%