NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	2.4 [1260]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +11.0%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	1.1 [1129]		LVP	Brian Cook (ORL): -7.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.09	15	59%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	56%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.07	4	-0.06	16	50%	-0.04
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	14	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	16	34%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	22	68%	0.13	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	10	78%	0.12	3	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	94%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.13	12	30%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.7	31.0	18.8	24.6	3.4	34.5	143.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.4%

DET +1.1%

DET +13.9%

DET +2.4%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.4	106.9	113.5	105.7
season	15.1	16.8		109.9	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	15.2	17.2	16.0	16.1
DET	16.8	15.4	16.3	18.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.49	16	-24	40	14.7	17.4	-2.73	17.5	15.8	1.67
Adonal Foyle	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-8	8	17.4	16.0	1.47	16.4	16.7	-0.23
Keyon Dooling	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.61	14.0	17.5	-3.46
Brian Cook	26	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	16.6	15.9	0.76	15.5	17.1	-1.66
Carlos Arroyo	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	16.5	14.9	1.61	17.5	14.0	3.46
Maurice Evans	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	13	-34	17.4	15.0	2.38	15.8	17.3	-1.44
Rashard Lewis	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	16.3	14.5	1.76	16.7	16.5	0.21
Dwight Howard	80	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	16.0	17.4	-1.47	16.7	16.4	0.23
Hedo Turkoglu	78	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-7	6	15.8	18.6	-2.76	16.9	13.7	3.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	72	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-4	16	16.9	15.5	1.37	16.2	15.7	0.45
Chauncey Billups	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-4	16	16.3	17.7	-1.38	16.2	15.6	0.62
Rasheed Wallace	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	-16	40	16.7	16.6	0.15	17.8	13.7	4.07
Richard Hamilton	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	8	-8	17.0	15.1	1.85	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Antonio McDyess	68	67	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	9	-10	17.2	14.8	2.46	15.8	17.0	-1.26
Jason Maxiell	39	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	13	-18	16.6	16.7	-0.04	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Arron Afflalo	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	14.7	17.8	-3.10	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Amir Johnson	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	14.9	17.0	-2.10	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Rodney Stuckey	22	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	12	-16	17.7	16.3	1.38	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Jarvis Hayes	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.10	-3	11	-14	18.5	16.6	1.95	18.0	16.0	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, CHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 114, PHX 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MEM 89, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%