NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	2.5 [1248]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +8.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.0 [1261]		LVP	Kwame Brown (MEM): -5.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	17	50%	-0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.08	15	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	17	64%	0.08	6	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	17	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Kaniel Dickens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	12	21%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	28.4	15.8	29.0	2.7	30.3	135.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.5%

CLE +2.9%

CLE +11.1%

MEM -3.0%

CLE +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	15.4	90.8	109.0	105.7
season	14.9	16.4		103.3	104.0
opponent	15.2	14.9		104.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	13.8	14.0	14.3	14.3
CLE	13.2	12.4	18.1	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	11.4	14.4	-3.04	17.2	14.6	2.52
Jason Collins	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-17	14	14.0	14.4	-0.37	16.4	14.1	2.24
Kwame Brown	40	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-20	20	14.8	13.9	0.83	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Brian Cardinal	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-13	6	12.6	14.8	-2.19	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Javaris Crittenton	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-9	-2	13.1	14.7	-1.56	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Mike Conley	38	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-12	4	14.8	13.9	0.87	16.6	13.6	3.08
Kyle Lowry	60	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-8	-4	13.9	14.8	-0.87	13.6	16.6	-3.08
Darko Milicic	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-3	-14	13.9	14.5	-0.60	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Juan Carlos Navarro	73	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-11	2	14.7	13.1	1.56	15.0	14.2	0.82
Hakim Warrick	87	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-7	-6	14.5	12.6	1.86	15.0	13.7	1.29
Rudy Gay	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	1	-22	14.7	12.2	2.48	14.7	15.2	-0.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	1	18	14.8	14.8	0.05	14.8	12.2	2.64
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.23	20	0	20	15.2	14.2	0.95	14.6	13.7	0.89
Ben Wallace	70	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	8	4	15.0	14.4	0.62	14.4	13.9	0.51
Devin Brown	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	11	-2	15.3	14.3	0.99	14.3	14.2	0.11
Wally Szczerbiak	70	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	9	2	14.5	15.6	-1.14	13.6	15.9	-2.37
Delonte West	63	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	9	2	15.1	14.3	0.76	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Joe Smith	54	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	13	-6	14.6	15.0	-0.41	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Damon Jones	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	11	-2	14.3	15.1	-0.76	14.4	14.2	0.15
Dwayne Jones	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	20	-20	12.8	15.1	-2.23	11.6	14.7	-3.08
Kaniel Dickens	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	14.0	14.8	-0.82	17.5	14.2	3.28
Billy Thomas	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	14.0	14.8	-0.82	17.5	14.2	3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DAL 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
TOR 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%