NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	2.2 [1297]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +13.7%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1241]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (DAL): -10.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.16	-0.00	0.15	28	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	83%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	12	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	0.00	-0.07	9	22%	-0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	0.00	0.06	16	78%	0.14	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	83%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	22	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	31.4	17.3	27.6	3.4	36.6	146.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.8%

DAL -0.1%

NJN +5.3%

NJN +11.4%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.6	98.9	112.4	104.4
season	16.4	15.7		109.0	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.5	16.6	13.9	12.1	15.1
NJN	15.8	16.1	22.6	15.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-16	21	10.8	16.4	-5.56	13.0	18.2	-5.25
DeSagana Diop	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-19	27	12.9	15.7	-2.79	15.7	17.5	-1.76
DJ Mbenga	33	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-20	29	12.3	16.8	-4.50	15.0	18.4	-3.41
Josh Powell	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-22	33	13.3	17.9	-4.57	16.2	18.4	-2.20
Rawle Marshall	25	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-14	17	14.4	15.4	-0.94	14.8	18.1	-3.29
Erick Dampier	41	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	5	-21	16.0	14.4	1.52	18.7	15.9	2.82
Jerry Stackhouse	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	3	-17	15.4	14.6	0.77	17.0	17.2	-0.23
Marquis Daniels	62	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	13	-37	17.3	10.3	7.02	17.7	15.7	2.04
Jason Terry	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	6	-23	16.4	11.7	4.77	18.7	13.2	5.47
Dirk Nowitzki	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	9	-29	16.1	11.6	4.49	18.3	11.6	6.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	70	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	-2	15	18.1	13.2	4.90	15.7	12.5	3.20
Jason Kidd	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	-8	27	17.4	16.0	1.40	16.4	11.5	4.84
Nenad Krstic	64	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	18.7	13.0	5.71	15.8	13.2	2.56
Vince Carter	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-5	21	17.9	14.7	3.14	15.8	13.0	2.79
Jason Collins	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-3	17	20.1	15.0	5.11	17.8	13.3	4.47
Clifford Robinson	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	3	5	16.3	18.0	-1.78	14.3	16.1	-1.88
Zoran Planinic	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	14	-17	15.4	17.9	-2.46	13.5	15.9	-2.42
Jacque Vaughn	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	17	-23	15.7	17.7	-2.01	12.5	16.2	-3.63
Lamond Murray	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	16	-21	11.6	18.6	-6.99	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Antoine Wright	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	9.9	17.9	-7.99	7.6	15.9	-8.23
Scott Padgett	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	9.9	17.9	-7.99	7.6	15.9	-8.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
TOR 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
VAN 96, DET 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%