NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	2.6 [1183]		MVP	Greg Minor (BOS): +3.6%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.0 [775]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -10.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Bowie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.06	8	70%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.09	13	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	5	38%	-0.02	5	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.05	15	54%	-0.05	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	12	31%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.07	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	18	55%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	18	63%	0.06	5	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Dontae' Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	30.8	13.0	26.0	2.5	30.6	132.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.4%

BOS +7.2%

BOS +3.5%

BOS +5.3%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.6	92.9	101.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		100.4	100.2
opponent	15.1	16.3		103.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	13.4	13.3	14.6	14.1
BOS	12.0	13.3	18.0	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bowie	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-18	26	10.7	15.2	-4.43	14.0	14.9	-0.82
Chris Mills	47	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-8	6	14.4	13.9	0.46	14.7	14.6	0.08
Terry Cummings	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.4	13.7	0.78	15.1	14.0	1.02
Charlie Ward	78	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.42	6	-16	22	13.3	17.3	-4.05	15.4	11.7	3.62
Chris Childs	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.7	12.5	3.19	15.6	13.6	2.01
Charles Oakley	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	6	-22	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.9	12.4	3.43
John Starks	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	0	-10	13.2	16.5	-3.31	13.0	18.2	-5.26
Allan Houston	76	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	13.9	14.8	-0.84	15.2	12.7	2.46
Larry Johnson	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	2	-14	15.2	11.3	3.86	15.0	13.7	1.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	94	92	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.3	12.4	1.84
Travis Knight	67	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-8	26	15.4	13.2	2.14	14.1	14.2	-0.05
Greg Minor	63	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-4	18	15.8	12.8	3.03	14.0	14.4	-0.50
Antoine Walker	81	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	14.6	14.7	-0.12	14.5	12.7	1.74
Tyus Edney	45	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	14.7	14.6	0.06	14.3	14.0	0.27
Kenny Anderson	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	13.5	15.5	-1.95	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Walter McCarty	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	15	-20	13.4	15.8	-2.36	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Andrew DeClercq	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	13.4	15.1	-1.72	15.7	13.6	2.05
Zan Tabak	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	15.2	14.5	0.63	12.9	14.4	-1.52
Dana Barros	41	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.29	-7	17	-24	17.0	13.1	3.87	14.0	14.2	-0.28
Dontae' Jones	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	14	-18	14.5	14.7	-0.16	8.0	14.4	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
TOR 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DAL 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%