NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	2.1 [1284]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +15.8%
Chicago Bulls	121		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	72%	0.01	2	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ivan McFarlin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	17	56%	0.01	7	-0.10	11	91%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.00	16	70%	0.19	3	-0.03	12	92%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	69%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.7	39.3	18.6	25.0	2.6	27.4	143.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.3%

CHI +1.9%

CHI +0.5%

CHI +6.4%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.4	97.9	126.0	104.5
season	15.5	14.5		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	14.9	15.8	14.3	15.4
CHI	12.9	13.9	13.6	18.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-31	35	16.5	15.4	1.14	16.7	14.5	2.12
Steven Smith	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	16.2	15.3	0.94	15.5	14.5	0.97
Ivan McFarlin	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-33	39	13.1	15.9	-2.76	18.6	13.8	4.74
Steven Hunter	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-27	27	15.7	15.2	0.43	15.5	14.2	1.33
Kevin Ollie	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-16	5	15.6	15.2	0.45	15.8	13.7	2.08
Rodney Carney	55	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-14	1	16.0	14.6	1.40	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Willie Green	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-13	-1	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.1	14.4	0.77
Kyle Korver	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-13	-1	14.2	16.7	-2.43	14.6	14.6	-0.06
Allen Iverson	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-17	7	15.7	14.7	1.05	13.7	16.6	-2.90
Chris Webber	42	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	-6	-15	16.2	14.7	1.52	13.6	15.4	-1.83
Andre Iguodala	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.47	-30	3	-33	15.3	15.7	-0.44	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Samuel Dalembert	64	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.37	-27	0	-27	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.7	16.2	-2.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	-2	31	13.8	16.5	-2.66	15.9	14.0	1.98
Chris Duhon	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.43	29	-2	31	14.6	14.8	-0.23	15.5	14.9	0.55
Ben Wallace	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	3	21	13.3	16.7	-3.40	15.6	14.9	0.71
Andres Nocioni	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	10	7	13.5	16.3	-2.77	15.5	15.3	0.17
Ben Gordon	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	12	3	14.3	15.5	-1.27	14.7	17.2	-2.56
Kirk Hinrich	21	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	22	-17	14.5	14.7	-0.18	18.6	14.4	4.16
P.J. Brown	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	24	-21	16.7	13.3	3.40	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Tyrus Thomas	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	26	-25	13.2	15.1	-1.86	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Adrian Griffin	26	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	23	-19	17.7	13.5	4.27	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Thabo Sefolosha	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	22	-17	15.8	14.2	1.66	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Malik Allen	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	22.5	13.9	8.60	12.3	15.6	-3.34
Michael Sweetney	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	15.5	14.5	0.97	16.2	15.3	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
IND 90, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%