NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	1.8 [1249]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +14.4%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	1.0 [872]		LVP	B.J. Armstrong (CHH): -3.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.08	19	70%	0.08	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	10	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	12	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	41%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Donald Royal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	61%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	4	75%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	-0.00	13	77%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	13	81%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.08	19	64%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	47%	0.01	2	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	10	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	24.2	15.8	24.4	2.4	25.5	116.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.1%

ATL +1.2%

ATL +14.0%

ATL +3.6%

ATL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.3	15.6	116.9	133.0	102.5
season	15.7	16.1		104.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.9		101.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.3	16.7	12.8	13.1	14.7
ATL	17.1	16.0	17.2	18.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Beck	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	8.6	15.2	-6.65	17.9	17.2	0.66
Donald Royal	17	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-26	35	12.3	15.3	-2.97	17.7	17.2	0.58
Dell Curry	23	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-14	11	16.7	14.0	2.70	18.3	16.9	1.44
J.R. Reid	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-15	13	15.2	14.3	0.90	18.4	16.4	1.99
B.J. Armstrong	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-8	-1	16.1	13.8	2.25	15.7	18.2	-2.46
David Wesley	55	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-9	1	13.8	16.1	-2.25	18.2	15.7	2.46
Anthony Mason	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	5	-27	15.0	13.7	1.35	17.3	17.1	0.24
Bobby Phills	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	-3	-11	14.0	16.7	-2.70	16.9	18.3	-1.44
Vlade Divac	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	3	-23	14.7	14.7	0.06	16.5	19.4	-2.93
Glen Rice	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	9	-35	15.3	12.3	2.97	17.2	17.7	-0.58

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	-9	35	17.1	17.9	-0.85	14.8	14.4	0.32
Dikembe Mutombo	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	-6	29	17.2	17.4	-0.17	14.7	14.6	0.10
Alan Henderson	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	-2	21	17.0	17.7	-0.68	15.2	13.6	1.60
Mookie Blaylock	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	-4	25	17.1	17.7	-0.62	15.1	13.5	1.65
Tyrone Corbin	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.16	17	0	17	17.4	16.9	0.51	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Eldridge Recasner	34	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	15	-13	17.3	17.3	0.03	15.1	14.5	0.58
Chucky Brown	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	20	-23	16.6	17.6	-1.02	15.3	14.5	0.81
Christian Laettner	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	14	-11	17.6	17.1	0.51	15.6	14.1	1.49
Anthony Miller	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	22	-27	17.2	17.3	-0.12	12.8	15.5	-2.69
Chris Crawford	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	20.6	17.0	3.57	8.8	15.1	-6.29
Drew Barry	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	19.0	17.2	1.83	10.5	14.9	-4.39
Greg Anderson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	19.0	17.2	1.83	10.5	14.9	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
UTA 83, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
PHX 86, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%