NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	1.9 [1302]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +10.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1281]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -9.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	74%	0.04	5	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	9	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	10	57%	-0.00	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	48%	-0.01	3	-0.03	5	100%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	18	47%	-0.03	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	80%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	64%	0.01	6	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.0	15.6	28.4	1.8	26.0	129.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.5%

PHI +4.8%

PHI +1.4%

PHI +11.1%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	12.8	15.5	83.5	107.8	104.0
season	15.6	13.9		98.1	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	14.6	16.1	16.6	15.3
PHI	10.5	11.5	14.5	15.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	65	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-33	42	15.3	15.2	0.13	14.2	10.1	4.04
Boris Diaw	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-20	16	14.6	15.5	-0.96	12.8	12.8	0.06
Predrag Drobnjak	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-19	14	14.8	15.4	-0.66	11.3	13.2	-1.94
Donta Smith	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-16	8	14.9	15.8	-0.92	12.7	12.9	-0.20
Royal Ivey	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-8	-8	17.3	14.6	2.70	12.8	12.8	-0.03
Jason Collier	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.32	-20	-4	-16	12.9	16.0	-3.09	11.7	13.1	-1.36
Tyronn Lue	67	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-13	2	14.8	16.2	-1.43	12.2	13.8	-1.60
Tom Gugliotta	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-4	-16	16.7	13.4	3.32	12.3	13.5	-1.20
Josh Childress	85	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-8	-8	15.6	13.6	2.04	13.1	11.5	1.62
Josh Smith	90	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	5	-34	15.0	17.5	-2.57	12.9	11.8	1.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	90	89	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	9	6	12.8	12.7	0.05	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Allen Iverson	29	29	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	6	12	10.5	13.7	-3.18	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Andre Iguodala	61	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	9	6	12.8	12.7	0.10	15.6	14.8	0.77
Samuel Dalembert	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	6	12	12.6	13.0	-0.39	16.6	14.3	2.28
Rodney Rogers	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	13	-2	11.5	13.7	-2.23	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Josh Davis	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	15	-6	13.4	12.2	1.26	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Aaron McKie	22	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	12	0	12.4	12.9	-0.49	15.7	15.2	0.54
John Salmons	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	17	-10	12.9	12.7	0.22	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Willie Green	64	65	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	19	-14	13.8	11.1	2.78	15.6	14.7	0.88
Marc Jackson	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	19	-14	13.0	12.7	0.29	16.3	14.7	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 125	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
LAL 107, MIN 143	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NJN 87, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%