NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	1.5 [1309]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +10.3%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.1 [1257]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -6.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	21	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	16	61%	0.08	4	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	69%	0.08	5	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	25.8	15.6	25.8	1.5	28.6	122.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.4%

ATL +5.3%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +7.1%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	17.0	15.5	97.8	110.1	105.7
season	16.4	16.5		101.6	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.8	18.8	13.5	12.6	15.4
ATL	15.1	14.8	18.3	19.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-19	27	12.2	16.0	-3.76	18.4	16.7	1.65
Brandan Wright	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-14	17	12.9	15.6	-2.74	21.3	16.6	4.68
Travis Outlaw	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-16	21	15.3	15.4	-0.15	16.4	17.5	-1.08
Ben Uzoh	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-21	31	13.2	17.0	-3.88	17.2	16.8	0.45
Johan Petro	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-17	23	14.6	16.1	-1.53	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Stephen Graham	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.90	17.7	16.8	0.90
Brook Lopez	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	6	-23	16.2	13.9	2.29	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Jordan Farmar	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.17	-19	8	-27	16.6	13.7	2.96	17.0	16.9	0.15
Anthony Morrow	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	3	-17	16.2	13.5	2.69	16.9	17.1	-0.14
Kris Humphries	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	9	-29	16.0	14.6	1.39	17.6	16.3	1.26
Sasha Vujacic	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	0	-11	15.4	15.3	0.15	16.0	20.3	-4.35

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-6	23	16.7	17.8	-1.06	15.7	14.6	1.10
Al Horford	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	5	1	17.0	16.7	0.29	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Joe Johnson	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-10	31	15.8	17.9	-2.15	17.7	13.6	4.06
Kirk Hinrich	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	0	11	17.0	17.0	0.03	15.1	16.1	-0.94
Marvin Williams	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	0	11	17.8	15.7	2.06	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Jamal Crawford	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	12	-13	17.2	16.0	1.21	14.8	18.0	-3.19
Zaza Pachulia	33	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	12	-13	17.4	16.7	0.71	15.7	15.2	0.45
Jeff Teague	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	11	-11	17.0	17.0	-0.03	16.1	15.1	0.94
Damien Wilkins	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	20	-29	16.0	17.2	-1.16	13.1	15.8	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 79, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
OKC 82, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DET 82, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%