inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 79 Excitement1.4 [1260] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +6.0%
Utah Jazz 106 Comeback1.0 [1260] LVPPete Chilcutt (VAN): -5.9%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lee Mayberry0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.05560%0.033-0.0100%0.00
Eric Leckner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00375%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Lawrence Moten0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01950%0.0000.002100%0.00
Greg Anthony-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02150%-0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Roy Rogers-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.04525%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Aaron Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.02967%0.013-0.0200%0.00
Chris Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.03642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bryant Reeves-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.041348%-0.013-0.02560%-0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.00-0.07515%-0.031-0.00367%-0.00
Blue Edwards-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.041140%-0.0400.00862%0.01
Pete Chilcutt-0.060,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.000.01650%-0.013-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.04593%0.0600.00475%-0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02978%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05585%0.0300.003100%0.00
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03675%0.024-0.0100%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.00-0.081546%0.032-0.01540%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.02470%0.0100.002100%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03744%0.0100.004100%0.01
Stephen Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.0020%0.00
Chris Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01175%-0.0010.00250%-0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04859%-0.0000.0010%0.00
Antoine Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05933%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.05733%-0.001-0.011100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.623.314.827.11.825.4118.4
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +29.3%
UTA +2.8%
UTA +9.4%
UTA +6.8%
UTA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANUTANBAVANUTANBA
this game17.614.915.688.8120.5104.4
season16.315.697.9110.8
opponent16.015.5102.2109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN17.719.717.715.517.6
UTA14.214.615.815.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Moten3333-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-242116.618.2-1.5513.915.6-1.70
Eric Leckner2325-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-252317.017.8-0.7316.414.42.03
Greg Anthony2624-0.08-0.420.33-0.173-303317.317.7-0.3916.214.51.80
Blue Edwards4646-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-17716.618.6-1.9715.314.60.71
Chris Robinson4141-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-221719.116.32.8515.014.90.11
Roy Rogers3332-0.25-0.250.010.25-17-10-718.217.21.0514.415.3-0.89
Aaron Williams5656-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-17717.218.2-1.0515.314.40.89
Anthony Peeler2727-0.26-0.24-0.020.44-24-3-2116.917.9-1.0514.615.1-0.51
Pete Chilcutt4342-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-10-718.616.61.9714.615.3-0.71
Lee Mayberry5151-0.38-0.12-0.260.35-25-2-2317.517.7-0.1715.214.60.51
Bryant Reeves6663-0.45-0.05-0.400.28-25-2-2317.817.00.7314.416.4-2.03

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag41440.410.090.33-0.4128-12913.915.9-2.0418.516.71.86
Karl Malone40430.410.090.32-0.4128-12913.915.8-1.8718.017.20.80
John Stockton39390.360.140.22-0.402612515.214.80.4218.217.11.01
Bryon Russell43450.330.170.17-0.282161515.014.90.0717.717.50.21
Jeff Hornacek39420.330.170.16-0.342341914.115.6-1.5118.317.01.28
Adam Keefe45440.170.33-0.17-0.01621-1514.915.0-0.0717.517.7-0.21
Shandon Anderson37350.160.34-0.180.07324-2117.113.43.7416.418.3-1.90
Howard Eisley49500.140.36-0.220.11126-2514.815.2-0.4217.118.2-1.01
Antoine Carr38370.090.41-0.320.26-633-3916.313.92.3717.517.7-0.21
Greg Foster41390.080.42-0.340.05126-2516.813.33.4415.819.0-3.14
Chris Morris12120.010.49-0.49-0.02126-2511.015.6-4.5718.617.41.15
Stephen Howard16150.010.49-0.49-0.08324-2112.415.5-3.1418.517.41.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 92, MEM 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
DEN 94, TOR 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
UTA 100, CHI 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,198.3%