NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	1.8 [1296]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +12.4%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	1.0 [1277]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -7.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	29	53%	0.05	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	0.00	0.13	10	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	14	86%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	7	70%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Marcus Cousin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	14	31%	-0.05	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.00	-0.06	17	62%	0.14	4	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.18	0.00	0.13	6	114%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	19	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.10	10	85%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.0	26.8	30.3	1.6	29.2	141.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.3%

UTA -2.3%

CHI +6.4%

CHI +4.1%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.5	105.3	125.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		106.4	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		99.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	15.6	12.3	17.4	15.2
CHI	15.2	12.6	16.0	17.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Cousin	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-11	4	15.2	15.2	0.08	12.4	15.5	-3.10
Gordon Hayward	17	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-6	-6	14.5	15.3	-0.86	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Jeremy Evans	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-6	-6	16.6	14.7	1.93	14.5	15.6	-1.07
CJ Miles	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-17	16	13.7	17.6	-3.88	16.3	13.6	2.71
Earl Watson	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	-5	-8	16.0	14.6	1.39	16.2	14.7	1.54
Derrick Favors	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-1	-16	15.6	15.0	0.57	12.5	16.2	-3.73
Raja Bell	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-13	8	15.3	14.7	0.64	15.4	14.9	0.57
Andrei Kirilenko	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-12	6	15.1	15.3	-0.11	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Devin Harris	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-12	6	15.3	14.5	0.86	15.5	14.1	1.39
Al Jefferson	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-7	-4	15.2	15.2	-0.08	15.5	12.4	3.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	6	6	15.0	16.0	-1.00	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Luol Deng	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	10	-2	15.8	13.5	2.29	15.3	14.9	0.35
Derrick Rose	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	7	4	15.6	14.3	1.27	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Taj Gibson	37	38	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	6	6	14.2	16.0	-1.87	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Keith Bogans	32	32	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	9	0	14.9	15.5	-0.55	15.7	14.9	0.81
Ronnie Brewer	30	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	8	2	14.7	15.6	-0.93	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Joakim Noah	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	12	-6	16.1	14.1	2.01	15.7	14.4	1.22
Kyle Korver	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	9	0	15.2	15.4	-0.18	15.5	14.8	0.76
CJ Watson	32	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	8	2	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.9	14.8	1.10
Omer Asik	15	16	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	15	-12	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.8	15.3	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 82, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
VAN 79, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
NYK 85, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%