NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	1.3 [1316]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +10.3%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.1 [936]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -6.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	7	21%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.04	4	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	14	80%	0.11	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	58%	0.07	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	13	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	4	37%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	48%	0.01	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	26.5	15.4	27.4	2.4	36.6	134.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.1%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +6.2%

UTA +4.3%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	14.9	91.4	112.8	105.1
season	15.6	16.3		103.5	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	13.9	14.3	14.9	14.6
UTA	16.1	20.4	15.1	13.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-29	37	13.8	14.8	-1.09	14.7	16.6	-1.96
Kyle O'Quinn	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-28	35	14.5	14.6	-0.11	13.6	17.6	-3.99
Sasha Vujacic	52	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.62	20	-41	61	13.2	16.4	-3.29	16.5	15.8	0.73
Kevin Seraphin	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	14.2	14.7	-0.54	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Derrick Williams	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-16	11	16.1	13.5	2.58	14.2	17.6	-3.44
Jerian Grant	28	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.18	-12	-9	-3	15.5	14.2	1.28	14.1	17.0	-2.87
Langston Galloway	45	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-12	3	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.4	18.0	-3.63
Robin Lopez	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-5	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.67	18.9	14.6	4.26
Arron Afflalo	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.29	-20	-1	-19	14.5	14.7	-0.22	18.5	14.5	3.97
Lance Thomas	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-10	-1	14.9	14.4	0.48	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Jose Calderon	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-3	-15	14.1	15.0	-0.84	18.3	14.6	3.67
Kristaps Porzingis	23	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.46	-27	6	-33	17.6	13.6	3.99	17.5	15.8	1.76
Carmelo Anthony	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-3	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.16	18.2	14.1	4.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	9	3	17.0	15.1	1.85	14.5	14.7	-0.14
Raul Neto	45	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	6	9	18.1	14.5	3.60	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Derrick Favors	56	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	10	1	17.0	15.0	2.04	14.3	15.0	-0.79
Rodney Hood	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	3	15	17.2	14.8	2.39	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Trey Lyles	56	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	11	-1	17.5	14.2	3.33	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Trevor Booker	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	5	11	14.2	17.3	-3.06	15.9	13.8	2.06
Alec Burks	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	16	-11	14.9	17.1	-2.22	14.8	14.5	0.36
Jeff Withey	38	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	11	-1	15.0	17.0	-2.04	15.0	14.3	0.79
Trey Burke	47	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	17	-13	14.5	17.9	-3.45	14.8	14.4	0.35
Elijah Millsap	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	7	7	15.7	16.4	-0.77	15.1	14.4	0.69
Chris Johnson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	13.9	16.4	-2.52	9.3	15.0	-5.63
Joe Ingles	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	13.7	16.5	-2.79	13.6	14.7	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 82, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
DEN 65, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
GSW 98, POR 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%