NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	1.6 [1276]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +13.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	125		Comeback	1.1 [1175]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -8.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	67%	0.03	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	10	30%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	6	85%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.05	16	58%	-0.04	5	-0.04	6	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	18	67%	0.16	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	5	20%	-0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.6	14.8	24.1	2.7	25.2	124.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.4%

POR +8.0%

POR +0.7%

POR +12.1%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	15.5	99.0	126.3	101.6
season	14.6	16.0		105.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.9	13.7	14.0	13.0	13.7
POR	13.2	16.9	17.3	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	21	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-28	29	11.4	14.3	-2.89	14.5	15.7	-1.26
Bob Sura	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-23	19	15.1	12.8	2.23	17.1	14.4	2.72
Mike Dunleavy	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-22	17	13.6	13.8	-0.29	15.9	14.5	1.42
Earl Boykins	45	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-16	5	13.9	13.4	0.51	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Erick Dampier	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-19	11	13.9	13.5	0.40	16.1	14.8	1.30
Danny Fortson	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-15	3	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.0	15.8	-0.73
Troy Murphy	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-12	-3	13.3	14.1	-0.80	15.8	15.0	0.73
Adonal Foyle	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.26	-19	-8	-11	13.5	13.9	-0.40	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Gilbert Arenas	54	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-11	-5	13.4	13.9	-0.51	16.2	14.5	1.67
Antawn Jamison	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	-5	-17	13.8	13.6	0.29	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Jason Richardson	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.35	-24	-3	-21	13.6	13.7	-0.16	14.4	16.1	-1.74

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	3	21	15.7	14.8	0.97	14.1	12.7	1.34
Bonzi Wells	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	6	15	16.0	14.5	1.48	14.1	12.9	1.17
Derek Anderson	50	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.26	24	3	21	15.0	15.8	-0.80	14.5	12.8	1.65
Dale Davis	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	7	13	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.0	13.3	0.61
Jeff McInnis	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	15	-3	15.0	15.8	-0.76	13.4	13.9	-0.45
Scottie Pippen	31	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.23	16	11	5	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Ruben Patterson	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.27	14	13	1	15.2	15.5	-0.38	14.5	13.4	1.10
Antonio Daniels	49	50	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	24	-21	15.8	15.0	0.80	12.8	14.5	-1.65
Arvydas Sabonis	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	24	-21	16.4	15.0	1.39	13.7	13.6	0.06
Zach Randolph	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	24	-21	14.8	15.7	-0.97	12.7	14.1	-1.34
Damon Stoudamire	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.6	15.3	0.28	13.6	13.7	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	15.1	15.5	-0.45	11.4	14.3	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 68, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
PHI 70, DAL 123	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
ATL 75, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%