inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 75 Excitement1.5 [1270] MVPHedo Turkoglu (SAS): +4.4%
San Antonio Spurs 114 Comeback1.2 [1099] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -9.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.051350%0.012-0.00667%-0.00
Chris Crawford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.02750%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Lee Nailon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Hansen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dan Dickau-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.100.00-0.10617%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04250%0.012-0.02250%-0.00
Boris Diaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.081030%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02850%-0.012-0.01450%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02333%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Dion Glover-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.031248%-0.051-0.005100%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03935%-0.052-0.03580%-0.00
Jason Terry-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.140.00-0.04617%-0.044-0.0600%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.040.04769%0.061-0.012100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05977%0.051-0.01475%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.150.000.111091%0.051-0.0120%-0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.021369%0.043-0.011070%-0.02
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.06633%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09819%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05844%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03657%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01460%-0.001-0.012100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03757%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.03520%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.526.416.425.42.523.6123.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.4%
SAS +0.7%
SAS +7.2%
SAS +9.7%
SAS +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSASNBAATLSASNBA
this game15.513.815.776.5115.2100.5
season15.315.998.2100.1
opponent15.815.592.7103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.314.015.715.915.5
SAS11.813.114.915.413.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Dickau3838-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-404115.615.40.2514.813.11.62
Chris Crawford3736-0.02-0.480.460.13-5-342915.715.40.3214.013.60.41
Travis Hansen3130-0.09-0.410.320.29-13-261316.515.01.4214.913.31.58
Boris Diaw4545-0.10-0.400.310.37-16-23716.614.61.9914.013.60.34
Lee Nailon78-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-353115.315.5-0.2112.913.8-0.97
Nazr Mohammed5959-0.20-0.300.100.33-18-21315.515.5-0.0114.113.20.91
Jacque Vaughn2931-0.21-0.290.090.44-22-17-517.014.82.2112.814.2-1.40
Jason Terry4040-0.29-0.21-0.080.30-20-19-114.416.2-1.8213.514.0-0.49
Theo Ratliff3940-0.30-0.20-0.100.31-21-18-315.515.50.0113.214.1-0.91
Shareef Abdur-Rahim5455-0.37-0.13-0.240.51-30-9-2115.415.6-0.2413.713.8-0.09
Stephen Jackson5354-0.40-0.10-0.310.27-23-16-714.616.6-1.9913.614.0-0.34
Dion Glover5859-0.41-0.09-0.320.29-24-15-914.816.4-1.6013.314.5-1.23

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic58560.410.090.32-0.563362713.414.3-0.9415.615.30.30
Tim Duncan48480.370.130.24-0.663543113.214.3-1.1316.114.91.22
Bruce Bowen54530.290.210.07-0.422415913.614.0-0.3915.315.7-0.43
Manu Ginobili52510.290.210.07-0.4826131313.614.0-0.4015.215.7-0.51
Tony Parker42420.250.250.01-0.392217513.114.2-1.0914.716.1-1.38
Anthony Carter39380.250.25-0.01-0.191524-913.813.70.0916.215.01.15
Devin Brown50500.220.28-0.07-0.171326-1313.813.70.1515.315.6-0.33
Malik Rose24240.210.29-0.08-0.201425-1113.613.8-0.1916.215.20.97
Hedo Turkoglu42420.210.29-0.08-0.231524-914.113.50.6516.214.91.29
Robert Horry34340.010.49-0.490.06-241-4314.613.41.2014.715.9-1.23
Kevin Willis34340.010.49-0.490.06-241-4314.613.41.2014.715.9-1.23
Jason Hart18180.000.50-0.50-0.06237-3515.113.51.6415.815.40.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 68, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,199.1%
GSW 98, POR 1250.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
PHI 70, DAL 1230.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%