NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	5.1 [794]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +4.0%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	1.5 [342]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -16.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	19	60%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Barkley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	12	44%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	7	22%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	15	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	5	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.07	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	16	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.03	-0.06	8	33%	-0.06	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	1.8	35.2	16.3	23.4	2.7	26.4	136.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +16.3%

GSW +2.0%

GSW +36.4%

POR -0.2%

POR -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.6	88.7	100.0	102.3
season	16.0	14.7		105.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.6	14.6	13.8	13.3	15.0
GSW	13.3	13.7	14.4	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.13	3	-13	16	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.0	14.5	1.52
Erick Barkley	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.19	4	-14	18	13.4	16.0	-2.60	17.2	13.5	3.71
Steve Kerr	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	14.4	15.5	-1.14	16.8	13.2	3.67
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-11	12	12.5	16.2	-3.70	12.6	15.8	-3.27
Zach Randolph	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-15	20	14.5	15.3	-0.84	15.8	14.2	1.54
Dale Davis	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	3	-16	16.2	13.8	2.45	15.2	14.4	0.87
Rasheed Wallace	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	6	-22	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Scottie Pippen	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	9	-28	15.5	13.9	1.59	13.4	17.7	-4.33
Damon Stoudamire	62	62	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	5	-20	16.0	13.4	2.60	13.7	16.8	-3.07
Bonzi Wells	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-5	0	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.7	15.7	-1.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-7	24	14.0	17.7	-3.71	15.9	11.8	4.11
Antawn Jamison	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	-3	16	14.5	15.7	-1.21	16.2	11.7	4.51
Erick Dampier	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-4	18	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.8	13.9	1.90
Larry Hughes	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-1	12	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.8	14.1	1.71
Bob Sura	53	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	2	6	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.1	13.6	2.45
Jason Richardson	43	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	8	-6	14.8	14.8	0.04	13.6	16.1	-2.45
Mookie Blaylock	47	46	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	11	-12	14.7	15.0	-0.30	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Adonal Foyle	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	14	-18	15.8	14.2	1.61	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Chris Mills	21	20	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	6	-2	14.0	15.0	-1.04	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Troy Murphy	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	18.1	14.4	3.67	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Marc Jackson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	17.4	14.5	2.88	10.0	15.7	-5.67
Gilbert Arenas	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	22.8	14.4	8.43	5.7	15.6	-9.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 90, NOK 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
WAS 98, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%