NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	4.5 [926]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOK): +14.4%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	106		Comeback	1.1 [1212]		LVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	26	61%	0.20	7	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.01	0.10	15	66%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	10	70%	0.16	6	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	13	66%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	8	94%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	54%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	73%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	10	36%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.1	14.7	31.1	1.7	26.2	128.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +32.3%

NOK +10.4%

LAL -1.3%

NOK +4.1%

NOK +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOK	NBA	LAL	NOK	NBA
this game	16.2	15.7	15.6	100.0	116.5	104.4
season	15.6	16.3		106.2	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.7	17.2	15.6	13.0	16.2
NOK	13.4	14.1	14.4	21.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-17	18	15.1	16.3	-1.19	19.4	15.2	4.19
Luke Walton	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-15	14	15.4	16.7	-1.36	18.1	13.8	4.30
Andrew Bynum	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-15	14	16.0	16.2	-0.28	17.9	14.6	3.28
Devean George	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	15.4	17.5	-2.11	15.8	15.4	0.39
Kobe Bryant	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	16.1	16.4	-0.27	15.2	17.6	-2.42
Kwame Brown	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.5	15.5	1.03	14.8	17.3	-2.46
Sasha Vujacic	61	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-4	-8	16.8	14.9	1.91	14.6	18.3	-3.68
Smush Parker	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	4	-24	16.5	14.9	1.51	16.5	12.9	3.66
Brian Cook	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	1	-18	16.4	15.8	0.68	13.6	18.6	-5.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	66	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-2	20	15.9	15.1	0.81	15.4	18.0	-2.59
Desmond Mason	70	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	2	12	15.1	17.7	-2.60	16.3	15.6	0.69
P.J. Brown	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	2	12	15.7	15.6	0.07	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Chris Paul	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	1	14	15.0	17.7	-2.65	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Aaron Williams	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	7	2	14.9	16.8	-1.83	16.1	16.3	-0.19
David West	50	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	6	4	15.4	16.0	-0.56	16.7	15.5	1.22
Kirk Snyder	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	17	-18	16.3	15.0	1.30	17.2	15.0	2.21
Rasual Butler	37	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	15	-14	18.2	13.9	4.24	15.4	16.7	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAC 107, PHX 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHH 67, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%