NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	4.1 [1012]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +16.7%
Phoenix Suns	127		Comeback	1.3 [1079]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -8.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	-0.01	0.08	26	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	6	78%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.04	0.10	20	73%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	10	90%	0.18	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	16	81%	0.17	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	64%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.0	33.1	19.7	27.0	3.5	32.2	147.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.1%

LAC -7.1%

LAC -0.5%

LAC -7.4%

PHX +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	115.1	135.1	104.4
season	15.2	13.8		103.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	16.2	16.3	13.9	15.4
PHX	13.6	15.1	14.3	18.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-20	20	2.0	15.6	-13.58	2.0	15.5	-13.52
Quinton Ross	50	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-22	24	15.2	15.7	-0.54	14.0	17.0	-3.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-12	4	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Corey Maggette	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-10	0	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.3	13.7	2.61
Shaun Livingston	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-4	-12	15.0	16.0	-1.06	16.6	13.9	2.79
Chris Kaman	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-5	-10	16.8	14.5	2.34	14.1	16.3	-2.26
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	-3	-14	15.5	15.2	0.22	15.1	16.5	-1.34
Sam Cassell	74	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-4	-12	15.9	13.5	2.39	15.7	14.1	1.56
Elton Brand	92	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	0	-20	15.6	2.0	13.58	15.5	2.0	13.52

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	88	88	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	0	20	15.2	18.2	-2.98	15.5	14.2	1.30
Boris Diaw	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	0	20	14.8	17.9	-3.06	15.7	14.1	1.65
Tim Thomas	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	2	16	15.6	14.2	1.32	15.8	13.2	2.65
Steve Nash	76	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	8	4	15.4	15.3	0.05	15.6	14.9	0.61
Raja Bell	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	7	6	15.6	14.8	0.78	14.8	17.3	-2.43
Leandro Barbosa	48	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	10	0	15.7	15.0	0.73	15.2	15.6	-0.38
James Jones	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	13	-6	15.8	15.2	0.66	14.9	15.7	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 76, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHA 89, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 95, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%