NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	4.0 [801]		MVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): +9.3%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	1.0 [772]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -14.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	9	71%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04
DJ White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	11	28%	-0.07	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	9	46%	0.02	4	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	49%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	16	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.4	27.3	14.8	27.3	2.3	29.5	124.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +17.6%

NJN +0.5%

NJN +20.2%

NJN +12.8%

CHA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	15.6	92.7	106.2	102.8
season	16.3	16.2		94.1	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		107.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	14.2	15.8	12.6	14.4
NJN	14.5	17.9	14.8	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	47	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-23	33	12.9	15.8	-2.99	16.9	14.5	2.39
Cory Higgins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	8.2	14.6	-6.39	17.2	15.6	1.70
Byron Mullens	42	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-24	35	12.8	15.6	-2.87	16.5	14.9	1.65
Matt Carroll	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.0	14.5	-1.48	15.2	15.7	-0.41
DJ White	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-14	15	14.2	14.5	-0.33	17.1	14.9	2.16
Reggie Williams	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-22	31	13.3	15.2	-1.89	16.0	15.3	0.74
Derrick Brown	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-12	11	13.5	15.1	-1.65	16.4	15.0	1.35
Tyrus Thomas	38	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.4	13.7	1.77	14.8	16.2	-1.44
D.J. Augustin	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	7	-27	15.4	13.2	2.20	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Bismack Biyombo	57	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	10	-33	15.1	13.3	1.75	15.1	16.4	-1.37
Gerald Henderson	60	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.19	-23	10	-33	15.4	12.7	2.73	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Corey Maggette	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.20	-26	13	-39	15.6	12.6	2.96	14.8	16.8	-2.06

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	71	71	0.49	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-10	33	14.7	18.2	-3.43	15.2	11.9	3.32
Deron Williams	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-6	25	14.7	18.0	-3.25	15.1	12.6	2.48
Kris Humphries	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	8	-3	15.9	14.6	1.28	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Jordan Williams	41	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	16.2	15.2	1.04	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Gerald Green	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.25	17	-4	21	15.5	15.7	-0.26	15.1	14.0	1.07
MarShon Brooks	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	20	-27	15.7	15.5	0.21	14.4	14.4	0.03
Shelden Williams	48	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	12	-11	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.7	14.0	0.72
Anthony Morrow	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.35	19	-6	25	16.5	15.0	1.46	14.2	14.5	-0.36
Jordan Farmar	29	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	19	-25	17.7	14.7	2.91	12.4	15.3	-2.82
Sundiata Gaines	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.2	15.6	1.70	8.2	14.6	-6.39
Jerry Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.2	15.6	1.70	8.2	14.6	-6.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 95, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
UTA 79, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%