NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	3.4 [1076]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [1241]		LVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): -9.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	51%	0.01	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.06	0.04	6	106%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	78%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	69%	0.08	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Adam Keefe	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	82%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.4	1.7	26.1	14.7	28.0	1.7	24.5	147.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.7%

SAC -12.1%

UTA +10.1%

SAC -3.2%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.6	106.7	122.2	102.5
season	15.2	15.9		98.5	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.9	17.3	17.0	14.7	16.9
UTA	13.8	18.7	13.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	13.8	17.4	-3.68	15.4	15.3	0.12
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-14	13	16.0	17.0	-1.04	11.9	15.7	-3.80
Mark Hendrickson	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-18	21	16.1	17.4	-1.30	15.4	15.2	0.23
Chris Robinson	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-17	19	15.4	17.4	-1.94	15.9	15.1	0.79
Lawrence Funderburke	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-14	13	16.3	17.5	-1.21	13.9	16.7	-2.82
Olden Polynice	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-9	3	17.2	16.8	0.38	15.3	15.3	0.03
Terry Dehere	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-16	17	15.6	18.3	-2.69	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Anthony Johnson	44	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	1	-17	18.3	15.6	2.69	15.5	15.0	0.50
Otis Thorpe	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-2	-11	17.7	16.2	1.48	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Mitch Richmond	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	1	-17	17.6	15.6	2.01	15.6	14.7	0.96
Billy Owens	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	17.5	16.3	1.21	16.7	13.9	2.82
Corliss Williamson	53	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	3	-21	17.4	16.1	1.30	15.2	15.4	-0.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-8	31	14.1	17.8	-3.64	17.0	16.6	0.44
Karl Malone	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-1	17	15.2	15.4	-0.14	17.8	15.7	2.09
John Stockton	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-3	21	15.3	15.3	-0.03	18.2	15.7	2.56
Shandon Anderson	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	15.6	14.8	0.78	18.2	14.9	3.34
Greg Foster	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	4	7	16.2	14.8	1.41	19.0	16.0	3.05
Antoine Carr	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	14.0	17.1	-3.06	15.9	18.3	-2.42
Bryon Russell	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	16	-17	16.2	14.3	1.88	15.9	18.0	-2.15
Chris Morris	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	16	-17	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.6	18.1	-2.53
Howard Eisley	55	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	18	-21	15.5	15.0	0.45	15.9	18.5	-2.64
Jacque Vaughn	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	15.7	15.2	0.45	14.7	17.3	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 85, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NOH 97, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%