NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	67		Excitement	3.8 [1022]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +8.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.1 [1125]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -18.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	9	53%	0.01	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	7	62%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	10	19%	-0.09	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	9	29%	-0.11	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.03	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	28.3	15.6	26.0	1.8	28.2	124.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.3%

POR +11.0%

POR +7.8%

CHH -1.8%

CHH -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	POR	NBA	CHH	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.5	77.9	102.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.8		99.7	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.7	16.9	16.2	15.7	16.6
POR	13.6	16.6	18.1	18.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim James	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	-17	12	14.5	17.1	-2.56	19.2	16.1	3.07
Lee Nailon	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-12	2	16.5	16.7	-0.18	17.6	16.2	1.40
Eldridge Recasner	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-12	2	17.2	16.4	0.85	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Hersey Hawkins	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-15	8	17.7	16.3	1.40	13.5	17.7	-4.13
Otis Thorpe	49	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-11	0	15.9	17.7	-1.82	18.4	14.2	4.15
Derrick Coleman	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-9	-4	17.7	15.5	2.25	14.2	19.2	-5.00
David Wesley	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-12	2	16.8	16.4	0.34	17.2	15.9	1.31
Baron Davis	60	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-10	-2	16.4	17.2	-0.85	16.9	16.0	0.86
Jamal Mashburn	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-10	-2	16.7	16.5	0.18	16.2	17.6	-1.40
P.J. Brown	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	-2	-18	16.5	17.9	-1.36	16.9	14.0	2.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.04	16	6	10	15.9	18.8	-2.83	16.9	15.9	0.97
Bonzi Wells	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	7	8	16.3	17.0	-0.70	17.0	16.2	0.87
Scottie Pippen	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	9	4	16.6	16.7	-0.10	16.9	16.3	0.60
Dale Davis	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	4	14	16.4	17.1	-0.76	17.2	15.7	1.50
Damon Stoudamire	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	11	0	16.4	16.9	-0.53	17.1	15.9	1.20
Arvydas Sabonis	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	13	-4	17.3	16.0	1.29	16.3	17.0	-0.78
Greg Anthony	29	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	12	-2	15.9	17.1	-1.19	16.9	16.5	0.42
Stacey Augmon	41	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	12	-2	16.4	16.8	-0.41	15.8	17.3	-1.50
Steven Smith	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	16	-10	17.3	16.1	1.22	16.7	16.6	0.03
Will Perdue	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	20.1	16.2	3.89	13.7	17.0	-3.33
Gary Grant	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	20.1	16.2	3.89	13.0	17.1	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 99, LAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 100, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%