NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	3.8 [1030]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +21.0%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.1 [1208]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -10.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.01	-0.03	15	75%	0.23	2	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	11	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	11	39%	-0.02	6	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	46%	-0.00	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	12	70%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.04	13	56%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	12	77%	0.09	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	12	28%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.7	30.2	15.4	24.2	1.6	32.2	134.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.8%

PHI -0.6%

ATL +16.9%

ATL +5.2%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	15.3	94.9	113.1	106.0
season	15.1	16.0		104.2	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.8		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	12.9	15.5	11.9	13.5
ATL	15.0	17.6	15.8	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-22	25	12.8	13.8	-0.92	17.3	15.1	2.23
Jason Smith	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-13	7	12.9	13.7	-0.88	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Jrue Holiday	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-14	9	14.3	12.8	1.50	17.1	14.8	2.28
Marreese Speights	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-12	5	13.3	13.5	-0.20	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Willie Green	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-8	-3	13.0	14.6	-1.58	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Samuel Dalembert	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	13.6	13.3	0.32	16.3	14.9	1.40
Thaddeus Young	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-4	-11	13.7	12.8	0.84	15.8	15.5	0.36
Andre Iguodala	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	1	-21	13.3	14.0	-0.70	15.4	17.0	-1.68
Lou Williams	80	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	5	-29	13.8	11.8	2.00	15.2	18.3	-3.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	1	17	16.2	15.0	1.20	14.0	12.6	1.39
Joe Johnson	69	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	6	7	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.7	12.9	0.78
Al Horford	61	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	5	9	16.3	14.9	1.44	14.0	12.6	1.42
Marvin Williams	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	2	15	15.7	15.9	-0.15	13.7	13.1	0.54
Jamal Crawford	59	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	5	9	14.8	17.2	-2.42	12.7	14.7	-1.98
Mike Bibby	44	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	14	-9	17.0	14.8	2.15	14.2	12.9	1.29
Maurice Evans	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	17	-15	15.9	15.7	0.15	13.1	13.7	-0.54
Zaza Pachulia	29	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	16	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.17	12.6	13.9	-1.25
Joe Smith	23	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	15	-11	15.4	15.9	-0.42	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Jeff Teague	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	15	-11	15.4	15.9	-0.44	12.7	13.8	-1.06
Jason Collins	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	14.7	15.9	-1.20	12.6	13.5	-0.92
Mario West	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.6	15.9	-1.23	13.0	13.5	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 114, DEN 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHX 80, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.3%
CHI 90, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%