NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	80		Excitement	3.5 [1101]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +6.3%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.0 [1162]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -8.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	18	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jake Voskuhl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	13	32%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	20	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	6	92%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	18	49%	0.03	4	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.4	25.4	14.7	23.0	1.5	28.5	125.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.1%

UTA +2.0%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.8	15.7	92.0	105.8	100.5
season	14.6	17.2		99.6	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.9		100.8	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	16.8	16.3	14.2	15.5
UTA	15.9	17.5	18.9	19.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	14.1	16.5	-2.38	18.2	17.5	0.68
Zarko Cabarkapa	14	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.9	15.6	-0.77	13.5	18.4	-4.88
Anfernee Hardaway	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	16.0	15.2	0.81	17.4	18.1	-0.62
Tom Gugliotta	19	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	0	-11	14.8	15.7	-0.85	16.8	18.1	-1.23
Jake Voskuhl	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	16.9	14.3	2.64	17.9	17.7	0.24
Joe Johnson	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-8	5	15.7	15.0	0.73	18.6	15.0	3.60
Shawn Marion	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-9	7	15.7	14.3	1.41	18.4	13.1	5.32
Stephon Marbury	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.83	17.5	19.1	-1.57
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.3	17.3	-2.03	17.5	19.7	-2.21

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-3	17	17.0	19.2	-2.20	15.6	15.3	0.36
Matt Harpring	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	10	-9	17.4	20.2	-2.77	15.5	15.4	0.09
Greg Ostertag	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	6	-1	18.1	17.4	0.65	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Carlos Arroyo	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	8	-5	18.5	16.8	1.70	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Andrei Kirilenko	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	10	-9	18.1	17.4	0.63	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Jarron Collins	31	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	4	3	17.4	18.1	-0.70	16.4	14.9	1.48
Raul Lopez	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	3	5	16.8	18.5	-1.70	16.0	15.2	0.85
Keon Clark	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	2	7	19.1	17.3	1.83	16.0	15.3	0.73
Raja Bell	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	8	-5	18.2	17.3	0.97	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Sasha Pavlovic	9	10	0.10	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	18.8	17.7	1.09	16.3	15.4	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 65, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHI 88, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%