NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	65		Excitement	3.8 [1040]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (NYK): +5.3%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.2 [1065]		LVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): -11.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamar Slay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	20	51%	-0.01	3	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Aaron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	13	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	29%	-0.03	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	18	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	33.2	17.5	23.2	2.7	30.0	134.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.5%

NJN -1.8%

NYK +18.4%

NYK +3.9%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	16.7	15.7	78.3	94.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.1	98.6
opponent	15.8	16.2		100.8	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.8	18.7	18.0	15.5	17.8
NYK	13.9	20.2	14.7	18.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	20	22	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-16	18	19.5	17.2	2.29	18.4	16.2	2.20
Tamar Slay	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	11.0	18.0	-7.01	21.0	16.5	4.47
Hubert Davis	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.0	18.0	-7.95	26.3	16.4	9.95
Brandon Armstrong	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	16.0	18.1	-2.15	19.1	16.2	2.92
Brian Scalabrine	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-16	18	16.7	18.3	-1.63	18.1	16.1	1.97
Zoran Planinic	14	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-6	-2	18.2	17.7	0.55	20.1	15.9	4.18
Lucious Harris	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	17.9	17.1	0.86	16.7	16.9	-0.25
Jason Collins	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	17.6	18.3	-0.70	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Richard Jefferson	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	1	-16	17.9	16.8	1.10	16.4	19.6	-3.16
Kerry Kittles	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	2	-18	17.9	17.1	0.81	15.5	22.9	-7.43
Rodney Rogers	61	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	7	-28	18.3	16.2	2.08	15.3	20.4	-5.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-6	26	14.6	20.4	-5.78	18.9	15.8	3.07
Kurt Thomas	44	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-1	16	15.2	18.4	-3.22	18.6	16.7	1.91
Stephon Marbury	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-2	18	15.6	20.8	-5.24	18.2	16.1	2.10
Nazr Mohammed	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	0	14	16.1	18.0	-1.86	17.8	17.7	0.04
Tim Thomas	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	6	2	16.5	17.8	-1.32	17.0	20.8	-3.78
Vin Baker	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	11	-8	18.9	16.0	2.83	18.9	17.4	1.50
Anfernee Hardaway	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	14	-14	18.6	14.4	4.27	17.9	17.6	0.24
Moochie Norris	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	16	-18	20.8	15.6	5.24	16.1	18.2	-2.10
Michael Sweetney	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	12	-10	16.1	17.0	-0.94	16.8	18.2	-1.36
DerMarr Johnson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.6	16.7	0.92	11.5	18.1	-6.58
Othella Harrington	18	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	19	-24	23.0	15.0	7.97	15.7	18.2	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHX 80, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.5%
MEM 76, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%