NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	81		Excitement	3.4 [1076]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +5.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.1 [1231]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marty Conlon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Alton Lister	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	14	50%	0.06	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Steve Hamer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	19	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	14	50%	0.03	7	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	18%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	12	22%	-0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	79%	0.09	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.07	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.26	-0.00	-0.12	7	6%	-0.07	5	-0.07	4	25%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	0.8	27.2	27.8	26.2	2.3	26.7	134.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.9%

BOS -2.9%

CLE +8.2%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.6	87.1	107.6	104.4
season	14.8	17.8		101.8	102.1
opponent	16.1	14.7		100.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	20.3	16.3	14.9	14.0	16.2
CLE	13.4	15.0	15.8	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	64	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	-13	8	15.0	19.0	-4.01	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Alton Lister	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-11	4	22.8	15.3	7.50	11.2	15.4	-4.18
Steve Hamer	14	13	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-17	16	13.0	16.8	-3.77	12.9	15.3	-2.33
Marty Conlon	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-16	14	13.5	18.1	-4.53	16.4	13.8	2.58
Eric Williams	82	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-14	10	15.9	18.5	-2.66	14.6	17.6	-2.92
Brett Szabo	27	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	-2	-14	18.6	15.2	3.42	16.0	14.5	1.53
Antoine Walker	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-3	-12	16.0	17.4	-1.39	15.1	13.7	1.35
Rick Fox	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.07	-14	-4	-10	15.9	17.6	-1.74	14.9	15.1	-0.24
David Wesley	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.28	-26	8	-34	18.3	8.5	9.82	14.9	14.8	0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	49	50	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.35	32	-14	46	15.0	14.8	0.21	18.3	13.8	4.45
Chris Mills	71	71	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.04	21	-3	24	15.3	13.7	1.63	17.2	13.1	4.02
Terrell Brandon	68	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.36	31	-13	44	14.7	15.7	-1.00	17.9	11.1	6.74
Vitaly Potapenko	39	39	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.23	25	-7	32	14.6	15.1	-0.49	18.0	14.9	3.05
Danny Ferry	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	-7	32	15.1	14.4	0.74	16.8	14.6	2.25
Antonio Lang	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.26	-7	25	-32	14.4	15.1	-0.74	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Reggie Geary	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	26	-34	9.6	15.4	-5.80	8.0	17.0	-8.98
Shawnelle Scott	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	26	-34	11.0	15.2	-4.25	8.0	17.0	-8.98
Tyrone Hill	46	46	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	17	-16	15.8	14.1	1.67	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Donny Marshall	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	20	-22	15.2	14.8	0.41	13.3	17.5	-4.21
Bob Sura	51	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.42	-20	38	-58	15.3	14.4	0.92	13.5	19.5	-5.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 65, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 64, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 80, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%