inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 76 Excitement3.3 [1100] MVPToni Kukoc (ATL): +8.3%
Atlanta Hawks 95 Comeback1.1 [1161] LVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): -13.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stromile Swift0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.03567%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ike Fontaine-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01373%0.021-0.02560%0.01
Pau Gasol-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.03955%0.023-0.054100%0.02
Tony Massenburg-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Rodney Buford-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.041030%-0.042-0.0100%0.00
Shane Battier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.031459%0.033-0.08650%-0.00
Eddie Gill-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.001139%-0.0600.00683%0.01
Will Solomon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0200%0.004-0.0700%0.00
Grant Long-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00529%-0.0700.0040%-0.05
Lorenzen Wright-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.020.01930%-0.092-0.0520%-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.210.010.138109%0.081-0.006100%0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.001661%0.102-0.05650%-0.04
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.03654%0.051-0.011100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00961%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.02771%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.110.00-0.0930%-0.023-0.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01450%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.021035%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.826.215.428.21.826.4123.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +49.8%
MEM -0.1%
MEM -9.9%
ATL +12.2%
MEM -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game16.515.815.685.4106.7102.3
season15.715.596.099.7
opponent15.215.2103.9103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM17.216.219.013.916.5
ATL14.714.514.619.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Long3840-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-181717.915.52.3714.716.7-2.03
Will Solomon1111-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-13713.916.9-3.0016.015.80.21
Tony Massenburg1716-0.18-0.320.140.08-9-10114.817.0-2.1915.315.9-0.62
Lorenzen Wright4445-0.23-0.270.04-0.09-5-14918.614.54.0614.717.0-2.29
Ike Fontaine3736-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-8-314.717.9-3.1917.414.72.68
Stromile Swift4243-0.25-0.250.010.13-13-6-714.518.3-3.7717.214.52.64
Shane Battier7878-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-8-316.814.81.9615.617.1-1.45
Eddie Gill6565-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-9-10117.015.21.8215.616.5-0.99
Pau Gasol7473-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-11-8-317.014.22.8116.014.81.23
Rodney Buford3938-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-190-1916.116.9-0.7315.815.80.04

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble65640.470.030.440.06145915.217.4-2.1917.314.62.75
Shareef Abdur-Rahim62610.460.040.42-0.071811714.818.1-3.2417.314.92.45
Jason Terry50490.380.120.270.00136714.917.0-2.1517.715.12.66
DerMarr Johnson58600.300.200.11-0.141541116.514.61.9016.017.7-1.76
Alan Henderson28280.270.230.04-0.261811715.216.1-0.8316.516.6-0.11
Nazr Mohammed49490.250.25-0.010.16316-1315.116.7-1.6417.815.02.84
Toni Kukoc49480.230.27-0.04-0.01811-314.817.1-2.2817.016.01.09
Jacque Vaughn39400.120.38-0.27-0.06613-717.014.92.1515.117.7-2.66
Hanno Mottola30310.020.48-0.450.02019-1917.614.92.7414.617.6-2.96
Cal Bowdler990.000.50-0.500.03-120-2122.315.17.2511.217.1-5.92
Mark Strickland660.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1724.215.28.9510.017.0-7.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 77, MIN 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
NJN 65, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,196.2%
OKC 99, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.1%