NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	114		Excitement	4.0 [1018]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +17.4%
Denver Nuggets	129		Comeback	1.2 [1009]		LVP	Paul Pierce (LAC): -7.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.07	10	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.01	0.08	8	71%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.08	12	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brice Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.29	0.01	0.12	18	85%	0.17	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.02	9	87%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	8	76%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	14	34%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	26.0	14.7	28.2	1.8	28.2	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +17.4%

DEN +16.6%

DEN +12.2%

DEN +2.7%

DEN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	14.8	117.5	134.4	107.7
season	15.0	14.4		110.8	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		111.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	16.3	14.6	14.0	15.1
DEN	14.1	13.0	14.8	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Johnson	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	10.6	15.4	-4.83	18.3	14.5	3.77
Paul Pierce	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-23	31	16.6	14.3	2.31	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Marreese Speights	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-13	11	14.3	15.4	-1.04	15.1	14.7	0.40
Alan Anderson	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-18	21	15.3	14.9	0.43	16.3	14.0	2.28
Luc Mbah a Moute	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-10	5	15.1	15.0	0.08	14.1	15.3	-1.13
JJ Redick	54	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-17	19	14.9	15.3	-0.45	14.3	15.5	-1.26
Chris Paul	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-14	13	15.3	14.6	0.66	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Austin Rivers	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-3	-9	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Raymond Felton	32	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.29	-21	6	-27	15.4	14.9	0.58	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Brandon Bass	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-3	-9	15.7	14.4	1.22	14.8	14.7	0.08
Jamal Crawford	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	15.1	15.0	0.11	15.5	14.1	1.42
Wesley Johnson	30	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.40	-26	11	-37	14.4	15.4	-0.99	14.3	15.0	-0.69

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-1	17	14.7	15.1	-0.39	15.6	13.7	1.82
Jameer Nelson	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	-8	31	14.9	14.7	0.20	14.5	16.4	-1.94
Nikola Jokic	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	8	-1	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Kenneth Faried	32	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.34	23	-8	31	15.8	14.3	1.53	15.8	14.6	1.22
Jamal Murray	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	8	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.43	15.3	14.8	0.55
Gary Harris	82	83	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	17	-19	15.1	12.9	2.18	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Mason Plumlee	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	5	5	14.7	14.9	-0.14	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Juan Hernangomez	54	54	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.35	-9	24	-33	14.3	15.5	-1.22	14.7	15.5	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 89, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 79, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%