NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	3.9 [1017]		MVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): +12.1%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	1.2 [899]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -11.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	26	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.07	11	87%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	9	44%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	26.5	15.7	25.1	2.4	26.6	124.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.4%

WAS +4.2%

WAS +11.7%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.6	97.8	126.4	102.3
season	15.6	16.5		96.3	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	14.6	14.9	14.0	15.2
WAS	15.5	14.8	16.4	18.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Guyton	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-21	17	16.0	15.1	0.86	18.6	16.2	2.43
Fred Hoiberg	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.21	-8	-17	9	14.7	15.3	-0.63	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Eddie Robinson	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-19	13	14.7	15.5	-0.74	16.3	16.3	-0.05
Travis Best	56	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-17	9	14.8	15.7	-0.86	17.1	15.1	2.07
Charles Oakley	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-22	19	14.5	15.7	-1.20	15.5	17.0	-1.49
Dalibor Bagaric	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.23	-13	-12	-1	15.4	15.1	0.30	16.4	16.2	0.21
Eddy Curry	50	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-13	1	15.2	15.1	0.14	16.9	15.5	1.44
Jamal Crawford	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-12	-1	15.7	14.9	0.74	14.5	17.3	-2.74
Trenton Hassell	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	-6	-13	15.5	14.7	0.74	16.3	16.3	0.05
Marcus Fizer	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-7	-11	15.6	14.5	1.16	16.2	16.5	-0.24
Jalen Rose	80	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	-4	-17	15.2	15.0	0.20	16.4	15.7	0.70

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	9	7	16.3	16.3	-0.02	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Jahidi White	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	8	9	16.0	16.7	-0.70	16.0	14.3	1.70
Courtney Alexander	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	3	19	15.3	17.7	-2.40	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Hubert Davis	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	7	11	14.7	17.3	-2.56	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Chris Whitney	48	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	13	-1	16.3	16.3	0.05	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Tyronn Lue	44	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	12	1	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Richard Hamilton	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	14	-3	17.2	14.2	2.97	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Tyrone Nesby	36	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	22	-19	17.7	15.4	2.39	15.7	14.9	0.83
Brendan Haywood	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.23	11	14	-3	17.2	15.8	1.47	14.8	15.4	-0.65
Christian Laettner	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	24	-23	15.9	16.5	-0.66	16.2	14.6	1.62
Etan Thomas	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	16.1	16.4	-0.31	14.8	15.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIN 99, BOS 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%