NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	3.8 [1036]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +10.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.0 [914]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -17.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.01	0.11	13	77%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	64%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	71%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.07	27	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.08	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	20	63%	0.12	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	-0.10	21	37%	-0.03	3	-0.02	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	589.5	3.5	33.4	-699.0	35.3	3.5	39.2	5.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.1%

POR -4.4%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +8.4%

LAL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.6	100.0	108.4	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.8	15.0	12.9	14.7
LAL	14.9	13.5	17.0	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	14.7	-14.71	1.0	15.6	-14.61
Rick Brunson	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-9	11	3.3	15.1	-11.74	18.7	15.3	3.32
Steve Kerr	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-18	29	11.1	16.0	-4.91	16.5	15.1	1.44
Shawn Kemp	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-10	13	14.6	14.7	-0.11	16.0	15.2	0.85
Ruben Patterson	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-8	9	13.8	15.6	-1.76	15.9	15.0	0.96
Scottie Pippen	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-8	9	14.3	15.2	-0.93	16.3	14.4	1.91
Derek Anderson	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	4	-15	14.9	14.5	0.44	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Dale Davis	44	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	10	-27	16.9	12.9	3.98	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Damon Stoudamire	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	2	-11	15.1	13.3	1.79	14.7	17.8	-3.07
Bonzi Wells	65	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	15.8	12.4	3.48	15.5	15.4	0.12
Rasheed Wallace	88	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	14.5	17.0	-2.50	15.3	16.8	-1.54

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	83	85	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-9	25	15.3	16.6	-1.29	15.3	9.9	5.42
Rick Fox	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-1	9	15.4	15.5	-0.07	13.9	16.7	-2.84
Shaquille O'Neal	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	15.8	13.9	1.95	15.2	12.6	2.59
Derek Fisher	76	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	8	-9	15.2	16.3	-1.08	13.9	17.9	-4.03
Robert Horry	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.8	16.3	-1.43	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Samaki Walker	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	15.7	15.2	0.53	16.6	13.1	3.48
Lindsey Hunter	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	1	5	18.0	15.2	2.81	19.2	14.2	5.01
Devean George	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	12	-17	16.0	15.1	0.82	15.1	14.5	0.68
Brian Shaw	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.30	-9	16	-25	14.9	15.7	-0.87	11.2	16.4	-5.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 73, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 79, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DEN 91, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%