inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement4.3 [958] MVPJamal Crawford (LAC): +10.9%
Los Angeles Clippers 112 Comeback1.0 [1221] LVPRandy Foye (DEN): -19.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.021559%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01965%0.103-0.04560%-0.01
Ty Lawson0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.03865%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Kenneth Faried0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Quincy Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01480%0.0130.002100%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01125%-0.0000.00250%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011029%-0.0400.0010%-0.02
Darrell Arthur-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.03737%-0.0500.002100%-0.00
Anthony Randolph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04543%0.014-0.064100%0.01
Nate Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.020.000.07765%-0.022-0.033100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.14-0.00-0.051018%-0.092-0.01250%-0.00
Randy Foye-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.17-0.04-0.0270%-0.113-0.0800%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.000.012066%0.163-0.051100%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.020.05772%0.052-0.02450%-0.03
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00856%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01125%-0.0000.00250%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01358%0.032-0.03650%-0.02
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.051254%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.01-0.04848%0.013-0.03580%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05456%-0.0200.001100%-0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03621%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Blake Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.031755%0.023-0.051080%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.635.315.023.22.332.4138.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +46.4%
DEN -7.1%
LAC +2.9%
LAC +4.4%
LAC +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLACNBADENLACNBA
this game13.414.715.188.3109.8105.2
season14.014.3104.5111.0
opponent15.414.9104.3106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.114.012.012.613.4
LAC15.613.214.715.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Miller2121-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-212112.313.6-1.3014.814.70.09
Evan Fournier1516-0.00-0.500.490.14-5-161110.613.8-3.2415.714.51.20
Nate Robinson4443-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-181512.913.7-0.8816.113.72.35
Randy Foye3737-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-191713.713.20.4813.615.4-1.75
Timofey Mozgov6158-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-212112.714.4-1.6714.215.5-1.30
Kenneth Faried67-0.12-0.380.260.09-7-14717.713.14.5614.614.7-0.18
Andre Miller3131-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-161114.113.11.0415.314.50.75
Darrell Arthur3433-0.18-0.320.140.09-9-12312.913.6-0.7715.614.31.24
JJ Hickson4545-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-11114.112.81.2414.914.60.24
Anthony Randolph2626-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-17-4-1312.713.6-0.9615.414.50.87
Jordan Hamilton5857-0.39-0.11-0.270.17-19-2-1712.814.1-1.2814.515.0-0.43
Ty Lawson7070-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-4-1314.311.52.8214.615.1-0.52
Wilson Chandler6766-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-10-114.012.21.7614.016.0-1.95

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeAndre Jordan68690.450.050.40-0.101921714.614.9-0.3113.613.00.55
Chris Paul67680.430.070.36-0.162011914.615.1-0.5313.712.80.86
Jamal Crawford66660.420.080.34-0.2222-12314.315.5-1.1813.612.90.74
Blake Griffin76770.410.090.33-0.141921714.515.5-1.0814.111.32.81
Jared Dudley61610.350.150.20-0.09156914.315.4-1.1414.312.02.31
Matt Barnes46470.160.34-0.18-0.04714-715.014.50.5612.414.1-1.70
Darren Collison46490.150.35-0.21-0.06714-715.614.01.5512.614.1-1.56
Willie Green33330.090.41-0.310.04219-1715.514.41.0612.513.8-1.26
Antawn Jamison19190.090.41-0.330.09021-2116.114.41.6212.713.5-0.78
Stephen Jackson88-0.010.51-0.52-0.01021-2113.514.8-1.348.713.8-5.01
Ryan Hollins2120-0.030.53-0.560.09-425-2915.214.60.6312.913.5-0.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 96, LAL 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
LAC 79, UTA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
HOU 73, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%