NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	79		Excitement	3.2 [925]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +14.4%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.0 [818]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): -13.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Thompkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	10	29%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Travis Leslie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	14	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Courtney Fortson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	14	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	30.4	13.0	29.0	1.6	30.2	128.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.4%

UTA +17.2%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +12.6%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	13.9	15.6	82.3	113.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.8		106.0	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	14.5	16.1	17.8	16.3
UTA	15.2	14.3	12.7	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-22	15	18.2	15.9	2.29	12.9	14.1	-1.21
Travis Leslie	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.22	-9	-20	11	20.4	15.3	5.15	13.1	14.1	-1.02
Trey Thompkins	39	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.30	-12	-17	5	16.6	16.0	0.60	13.1	14.4	-1.36
Courtney Fortson	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.29	-16	-13	-3	16.7	15.9	0.79	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Chauncey Billups	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-25	21	14.8	17.8	-3.07	14.5	13.2	1.26
Ryan Gomes	59	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	-11	-7	16.2	16.3	-0.06	12.9	15.3	-2.43
DeAndre Jordan	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-22	15	15.1	17.2	-2.03	14.5	13.4	1.06
Reggie Evans	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-11	-7	16.6	16.0	0.60	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Caron Butler	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-15	1	16.0	16.6	-0.57	14.6	12.8	1.87
Blake Griffin	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-15	1	16.1	16.4	-0.30	14.4	13.2	1.21
Randy Foye	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.27	-26	-3	-23	16.2	16.4	-0.27	14.1	13.6	0.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	7	15	13.9	13.8	0.14	15.7	17.3	-1.66
Raja Bell	58	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	12	5	14.4	13.1	1.36	16.0	16.6	-0.60
CJ Miles	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.40	26	3	23	13.6	14.3	-0.72	17.3	14.8	2.42
Devin Harris	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	19	-9	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.5	17.2	-1.74
Al Jefferson	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	21	-13	14.7	12.8	1.83	15.1	17.7	-2.63
Earl Watson	34	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.37	20	9	11	12.9	14.5	-1.61	16.7	16.0	0.69
Enes Kanter	42	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.39	19	10	9	12.9	14.6	-1.71	17.2	15.5	1.74
Gordon Hayward	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	29	-29	14.3	13.6	0.63	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Jeremy Evans	32	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	20	-11	13.7	14.0	-0.25	18.0	15.3	2.65
Alec Burks	37	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.30	12	17	-5	13.1	14.4	-1.36	16.6	16.0	0.60
Jamaal Tinsley	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	13.7	13.9	-0.25	18.0	16.0	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
HOU 73, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 96, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%