NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	3.8 [1080]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +10.7%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -15.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	74%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	17	64%	0.08	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	6	36%	-0.01	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0.00	16	55%	0.00	5	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.00	0.01	9	42%	-0.06	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	8	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	66%	0.07	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	64%	0.01	3	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	30.0	0.3	27.6	3.4	29.7	120.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.4%

NYK +6.7%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +16.2%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.5	101.1	115.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		103.0	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.9	15.0	17.4	13.8	14.4
NYK	14.8	15.6	15.4	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-17	20	13.7	14.5	-0.81	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Lionel Chalmers	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	11.5	14.7	-3.17	22.2	15.3	6.97
Quinton Ross	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-18	22	13.9	14.6	-0.77	18.8	14.6	4.17
Zeljko Rebraca	3	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-7	0	17.7	14.3	3.37	11.3	16.1	-4.73
Mikki Moore	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-4	-6	13.6	14.7	-1.08	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Shaun Livingston	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	14.4	14.4	0.00	16.8	14.3	2.53
Bobby Simmons	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-8	2	14.2	14.7	-0.41	16.1	15.6	0.55
Chris Wilcox	83	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-10	6	14.8	11.8	2.94	16.2	14.3	1.88
Elton Brand	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-1	-12	14.9	13.3	1.58	15.1	17.8	-2.75
Marko Jaric	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	0	-14	14.6	14.1	0.53	14.8	17.4	-2.59
Corey Maggette	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	4	-22	14.3	14.9	-0.62	15.1	19.1	-3.99

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-3	20	14.8	19.1	-4.29	14.7	13.4	1.33
Stephon Marbury	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	15.4	16.8	-1.43	15.2	12.9	2.30
Kurt Thomas	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	3	8	14.9	17.0	-2.02	15.1	13.7	1.39
Tim Thomas	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.15	17	-3	20	16.0	15.9	0.12	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Michael Sweetney	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	2	10	15.2	17.4	-2.20	14.5	14.1	0.41
Anfernee Hardaway	57	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	13	-12	16.8	14.6	2.14	14.1	14.8	-0.78
Jerome Williams	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	11	-8	15.5	16.2	-0.66	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Nazr Mohammed	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	9	-4	16.1	15.9	0.22	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Trevor Ariza	47	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	14	-14	16.9	15.0	1.85	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Vin Baker	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	21.6	15.2	6.47	11.3	14.8	-3.46
Moochie Norris	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	22.2	15.3	6.97	11.5	14.7	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 88, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 79, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%