NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	4.0 [1007]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +14.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	1.1 [551]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -6.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	14	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	11	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	23	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	10	62%	-0.01	2	0.00	4	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	27.6	15.5	27.2	2.4	25.7	123.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +33.4%

NOP +1.6%

NOP +17.2%

ATL -5.4%

NOP +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOP	NBA	ATL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.1	109.9	125.0	104.2
season	14.9	15.8		106.7	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		106.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	13.9	16.0	15.0	15.0
NOP	13.7	17.4	17.4	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	15.0	15.0	0.02	16.6	16.5	0.07
John Jenkins	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-15	15	14.3	15.3	-0.96	17.1	16.2	0.86
Mike Scott	43	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-15	15	14.6	15.3	-0.75	16.6	16.4	0.15
Pero Antic	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-7	-1	15.0	15.0	0.02	17.6	16.3	1.30
Kent Bazemore	51	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-10	5	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.9	17.1	-1.22
DeMarre Carroll	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	15.5	14.5	0.97	17.0	16.0	1.02
Jeff Teague	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-5	-5	14.8	15.3	-0.54	16.9	15.8	1.13
Dennis Schroder	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	15.3	14.8	0.54	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Al Horford	57	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	15.2	14.6	0.53	16.1	17.2	-1.03
Paul Millsap	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	15.1	14.8	0.27	16.6	16.3	0.25
Kyle Korver	57	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	4	-23	14.6	15.5	-0.88	16.3	16.9	-0.62

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	56	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	0	15	16.5	16.4	0.07	14.2	16.1	-1.85
Tyreke Evans	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	3	9	16.3	16.8	-0.45	15.5	14.0	1.43
Quincy Pondexter	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	4	7	17.3	15.1	2.23	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Anthony Davis	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	5	5	16.5	16.6	-0.09	15.7	13.4	2.24
Dante Cunningham	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	5	5	16.4	16.6	-0.22	15.1	14.8	0.31
Omer Asik	62	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	8	-1	16.7	16.1	0.58	15.2	14.5	0.74
Jimmer Fredette	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	7	1	16.1	16.8	-0.62	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Eric Gordon	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	6	3	16.4	16.6	-0.24	15.6	14.1	1.52
John Salmons	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	16	-17	17.1	16.4	0.77	15.9	14.8	1.12
Luke Babbitt	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.6	-3.95	9.3	15.2	-5.84
Nate Wolters	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.6	-3.95	9.3	15.2	-5.84
Jeff Withey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.6	-3.95	9.3	15.2	-5.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CHH 67, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 114, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%