NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	4.8 [845]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +22.2%
Golden State Warriors	129		Comeback	1.3 [397]		LVP	Grant Hill (PHX): -10.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	14	72%	0.15	8	-0.18	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	16	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.02	0.00	21	71%	0.26	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.02	-0.04	24	54%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.02	0.07	23	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.5	15.7	27.3	2.4	29.5	128.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.7%

PHX -5.5%

GSW +4.3%

GSW +20.9%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.4	112.9	124.0	105.7
season	13.8	13.5		111.1	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		107.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	13.5	14.0	13.1	13.8
GSW	10.9	15.3	14.2	17.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-14	13	12.7	14.3	-1.65	16.6	13.3	3.37
Leandro Barbosa	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-9	3	13.9	13.7	0.17	16.5	12.2	4.28
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	13.6	14.1	-0.44	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Boris Diaw	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-8	1	13.7	13.9	-0.23	14.7	13.8	0.85
Grant Hill	84	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-10	5	13.8	13.9	-0.08	13.2	20.7	-7.54
Raja Bell	73	76	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-1	-13	13.6	14.3	-0.66	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Steve Nash	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	2	-19	13.9	13.5	0.44	14.3	14.2	0.08
Shawn Marion	77	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	3	-21	14.5	11.5	2.98	13.4	16.9	-3.48

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	92	88	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-5	25	14.1	15.3	-1.19	14.1	11.8	2.26
Monta Ellis	78	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	13.9	15.4	-1.53	14.0	13.4	0.58
Al Harrington	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	0	15	13.4	15.5	-2.09	14.6	12.7	1.90
Stephen Jackson	93	88	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	1	13	14.5	12.7	1.74	14.0	12.2	1.81
Matt Barnes	78	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	13.8	15.6	-1.73	13.9	13.5	0.42
Mickael Pietrus	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	15	-15	15.1	13.9	1.19	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Kelenna Azubuike	49	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	16.0	12.8	3.18	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Andris Biedrins	31	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	13.7	14.5	-0.86	13.4	14.0	-0.51
Marco Belinelli	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	30.0	14.1	15.87	4.5	14.0	-9.50
Brandan Wright	3	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	20	-25	16.0	14.2	1.77	7.2	14.2	-6.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.6%
SAS 99, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%