inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement4.4 [916] MVPCarlos Boozer (UTA): +13.4%
Utah Jazz 113 Comeback1.2 [692] LVPGeorge Hill (SAS): -10.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01964%0.081-0.02450%-0.02
Tony Parker0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.010.031457%0.092-0.059100%0.04
DeJuan Blair0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.000.051070%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04550%0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02658%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Keith Bogans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02625%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.011054%0.012-0.03862%-0.02
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.02850%-0.002-0.04667%-0.01
George Hill-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.01812%-0.081-0.0200%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.010.012063%0.151-0.023100%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.000.011961%0.122-0.04683%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01863%0.0600.00333%-0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01475%0.0600.00475%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00760%0.061-0.026100%0.03
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00845%-0.011-0.01667%-0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011045%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.02425%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.637.120.031.72.828.2149.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +24.4%
UTA +5.9%
UTA +14.8%
UTA +3.2%
UTA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game15.416.115.3107.6124.2106.0
season15.915.3108.2109.5
opponent15.015.1104.5103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.913.416.915.715.4
UTA16.114.815.917.716.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeJuan Blair4042-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-192413.716.7-3.0416.515.80.68
Keith Bogans2020-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-131213.615.9-2.2317.615.62.00
Roger Mason Jr.3334-0.05-0.450.39-0.267-212814.216.0-1.7916.515.80.66
Matt Bonner3532-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-121015.015.6-0.5915.616.4-0.76
Michael Finley3232-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-8215.815.20.6516.016.1-0.09
George Hill4445-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-6-214.815.9-1.1015.816.3-0.48
Manu Ginobili4948-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-6-215.115.7-0.6216.016.2-0.19
Tony Parker5452-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-8-6-216.114.41.7416.215.90.24
Antonio McDyess4343-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-151-1615.315.4-0.1216.315.90.36
Tim Duncan5856-0.41-0.09-0.310.06-162-1816.713.23.4215.616.8-1.20
Richard Jefferson5251-0.44-0.06-0.370.09-184-2216.713.63.1315.816.5-0.69

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams67690.460.040.43-0.0618-42215.817.0-1.1816.412.43.94
Mehmet Okur52530.430.070.35-0.0115-11616.415.60.8316.014.51.52
Andrei Kirilenko69720.420.080.34-0.0215-11615.816.9-1.0216.112.73.44
Ronnie Brewer61620.350.150.190.05104615.716.9-1.1615.515.10.48
Carlos Boozer70740.340.160.180.05104615.816.9-1.0615.315.6-0.27
Wesley Matthews48470.230.27-0.030.0959-416.915.11.8014.416.4-2.06
Paul Millsap49490.170.33-0.160.05410-616.216.00.1615.814.90.95
Kyrylo Fesenko750.060.44-0.380.03113-1215.416.1-0.718.215.8-7.60
Ronnie Price24230.040.46-0.430.15-418-2217.015.81.1812.416.4-3.94
Eric Maynor430.000.50-0.500.06-216-1816.016.1-0.0910.015.6-5.57
Kosta Koufos430.000.50-0.500.06-216-1816.016.1-0.0910.015.6-5.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 90, NYK 1020.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
PHX 114, GSW 1290.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.4%
NJN 77, LAC 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%