inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement4.5 [929] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +22.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 120 Comeback1.2 [1048] LVPSasha Pavlovic (CLE): -8.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kris Humphries0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.01671%0.091-0.00580%0.01
Juan Dixon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.010.041860%0.081-0.00450%-0.01
Chris Bosh0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.00-0.032445%0.061-0.047100%0.02
Jose Calderon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.05350%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Darrick Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Uros Slokar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04183%0.0000.00475%0.00
PJ Tucker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01355%0.001-0.00540%0.00
Joey Graham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09817%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Morris Peterson-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00550%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01542%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
T.J. Ford-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.011043%0.002-0.061100%0.01
Jorge Garbajosa-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.160.05-0.012063%0.232-0.001788%0.04
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.01-0.04875%0.1500.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.030.06687%0.1000.00475%-0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041771%0.124-0.06475%-0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01767%0.082-0.03786%0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02525%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.01729%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.05917%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.735.115.728.22.732.2140.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +29.3%
CLE +8.5%
CLE +7.9%
CLE +0.8%
CLE +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCLENBATORCLENBA
this game14.314.715.499.0118.8104.5
season15.216.0104.7103.2
opponent15.615.499.6104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.914.815.512.214.3
CLE14.515.215.114.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrick Martin1111-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222113.614.3-0.7115.514.60.88
Uros Slokar1414-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-201712.214.6-2.3913.414.9-1.44
PJ Tucker2728-0.01-0.490.470.10-4-191512.215.1-2.8714.014.9-0.98
Jorge Garbajosa3839-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-201714.414.20.2516.213.72.50
Jose Calderon3943-0.14-0.360.230.16-10-13314.214.3-0.1413.515.5-1.98
Morris Peterson4241-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-171115.013.71.2415.214.30.88
Rasho Nesterovic4747-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-16914.913.71.2515.813.72.16
Joey Graham4751-0.26-0.24-0.020.27-18-5-1313.914.6-0.7113.915.5-1.64
Kris Humphries2729-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-12115.313.91.4714.314.8-0.51
T.J. Ford4847-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-12-11-114.514.10.4215.513.91.61
Juan Dixon7275-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-19-4-1514.015.0-1.0014.215.9-1.68
Chris Bosh7880-0.510.01-0.510.11-21-2-1914.612.91.6514.515.3-0.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James79760.51-0.010.53-0.162302314.315.9-1.5814.413.70.69
Anderson Varejao58540.480.020.46-0.2525-22714.514.9-0.3714.713.80.89
Donyell Marshall56520.420.080.33-0.172031712.916.9-3.9614.214.4-0.20
Larry Hughes75750.390.110.27-0.232121915.412.72.6714.513.31.20
Sasha Pavlovic63630.270.230.03-0.20167915.413.51.8414.613.70.86
Eric Snow46430.250.25-0.000.02815-714.514.8-0.2413.814.6-0.76
Shannon Brown31280.120.38-0.270.03320-1713.415.2-1.8613.514.6-1.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas33340.040.46-0.410.01122-2117.813.14.6715.013.91.17
Drew Gooden33350.020.48-0.460.02023-2315.914.11.8414.314.20.08
Ira Newble12110.010.49-0.480.10-326-299.715.3-5.6811.614.6-2.96
David Wesley11110.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2115.514.60.8813.614.3-0.71
Damon Jones880.000.50-0.500.00023-2313.714.8-1.0011.614.5-2.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 70, SEA 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
WAS 93, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
POR 86, GSW 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%