NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	4.2 [1004]		MVP	Darrell Arthur (MEM): +20.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.1 [1236]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -18.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	86%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	5	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.01	-0.03	11	85%	0.21	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	8	79%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	12	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	21	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	11	18%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	29.4	16.6	26.5	2.7	27.2	132.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.2%

MEM +5.7%

MEM +17.0%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	104.5	117.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		100.9	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	16.1	15.5	16.1	16.0
MEM	14.2	14.5	15.8	19.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	12	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-18	22	13.5	16.4	-2.93	17.6	15.7	1.98
Cartier Martin	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-19	24	14.2	16.5	-2.32	19.6	14.9	4.66
Nick Young	54	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-12	10	15.5	16.9	-1.45	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Trevor Booker	63	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-17	20	16.1	15.8	0.32	16.6	14.3	2.33
Yi Jianlian	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-6	-2	17.3	15.5	1.75	16.6	15.7	0.87
Hilton Armstrong	6	6	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-6	-2	17.7	15.9	1.75	17.8	15.8	2.00
Al Thornton	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-3	-8	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.5	16.6	-1.13
Kirk Hinrich	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-3	-8	17.8	15.0	2.88	16.5	15.7	0.81
John Wall	63	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-7	0	15.3	17.9	-2.61	16.1	15.7	0.34
Andray Blatche	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	2	-18	15.9	16.5	-0.64	14.7	18.9	-4.15
Rashard Lewis	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	5	-24	16.6	15.1	1.53	15.5	16.8	-1.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.09	24	-10	34	15.5	17.2	-1.73	16.8	14.2	2.61
Mike Conley	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	1	12	16.2	14.7	1.56	15.8	17.4	-1.64
Zach Randolph	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	4	6	16.3	15.0	1.26	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Darrell Arthur	52	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-2	18	14.5	17.9	-3.33	16.5	15.5	1.02
Marc Gasol	55	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	13	-12	17.2	14.1	3.16	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Sam Young	60	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	12	-10	16.9	14.2	2.74	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Rudy Gay	47	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	10	-6	15.5	16.4	-0.90	16.4	15.5	0.88
Greivis Vasquez	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	13	-12	14.7	16.2	-1.56	17.4	15.8	1.64
Hasheem Thabeet	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.0	16.1	-3.14	16.3	16.0	0.32
Xavier Henry	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	16	-18	15.7	16.0	-0.27	12.4	16.5	-4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHI 95, MEM 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SEA 93, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%