NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	4.4 [955]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +14.7%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	1.0 [1261]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -19.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Swift	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	12	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.05	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	15	34%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.19	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.04	17	28%	-0.13	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	16	65%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	16	67%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	95%	0.12	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	17	62%	0.17	6	-0.10	6	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.8	15.8	25.2	2.4	26.2	124.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.8%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +5.7%

GSW +5.5%

SEA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.6	96.9	113.5	104.4
season	15.0	14.8		108.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	16.3	16.4	16.8	15.9
GSW	14.6	13.7	12.4	16.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	53	52	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-21	26	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.2	12.9	2.26
Reggie Evans	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-17	18	17.7	15.6	2.10	17.0	13.8	3.24
Ronald Murray	57	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-17	18	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.0	12.9	2.10
Johan Petro	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-7	-2	15.1	16.2	-1.06	13.7	14.3	-0.69
Robert Swift	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-9	2	15.9	15.8	0.08	13.6	14.6	-1.09
Luke Ridnour	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-5	-6	15.6	18.4	-2.85	14.2	13.6	0.64
Damien Wilkins	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	1	-18	15.9	15.6	0.34	14.4	13.1	1.31
Rashard Lewis	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	6	-28	15.9	15.9	-0.04	13.3	17.1	-3.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	5	-26	15.8	15.9	-0.09	12.9	15.2	-2.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	82	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-6	28	14.2	13.9	0.24	16.3	12.8	3.49
Jason Richardson	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-7	30	14.0	14.6	-0.57	16.0	15.5	0.50
Baron Davis	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	3	10	14.0	14.5	-0.52	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Adonal Foyle	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-1	18	14.0	14.4	-0.39	16.7	14.6	2.04
Troy Murphy	61	61	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	6	4	14.4	13.6	0.80	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	17	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	12	-8	12.0	14.6	-2.59	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Mickael Pietrus	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	17	-18	13.3	14.5	-1.17	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Zarko Cabarkapa	17	15	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.03	4	12	-8	14.4	14.1	0.26	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Derek Fisher	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	16	-16	14.5	13.8	0.67	16.9	15.0	1.89
Monta Ellis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	15.2	14.1	1.12	9.2	16.2	-7.03
Ike Diogu	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	23	-30	16.4	13.6	2.78	12.7	16.6	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIA 81, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 99, DET 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%