NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	8.0 [244]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors	80		Comeback	3.1 [244]		LVP	Dee Brown (TOR): -24.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	14	47%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	14	68%	0.26	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	6	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	46%	-0.03	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	14	40%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	17	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	10	48%	0.03	4	-0.27	1	0%	-0.05
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.19	-0.01	3	0%	-0.16	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	32.4	19.7	29.0	2.8	42.2	155.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +63.2%

NYK +1.1%

TOR -13.6%

TOR -1.0%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.2	100.0	90.9	101.7
season	16.1	15.5		100.0	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.8		102.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	15.6	15.5	18.2	15.9
TOR	15.4	17.8	17.2	17.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-3	13	16.1	13.5	2.57	17.3	13.9	3.43
Chris Childs	48	49	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-2	11	16.3	15.4	0.88	17.6	16.3	1.31
Larry Johnson	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	4	-1	16.4	14.0	2.43	16.7	17.9	-1.17
Patrick Ewing	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	2	3	15.5	17.1	-1.62	16.4	18.7	-2.28
Allan Houston	73	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	3	1	15.5	18.1	-2.68	16.6	19.5	-2.87
Marcus Camby	36	38	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-1	9	15.6	16.1	-0.53	18.3	16.0	2.30
Kurt Thomas	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	5	-3	17.1	15.5	1.62	18.7	16.4	2.28
Charlie Ward	42	42	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	13	-19	15.3	16.5	-1.23	15.8	18.1	-2.25

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	48	49	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-11	15	16.5	17.6	-1.12	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Alvin Williams	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	4.0	17.2	-13.16	0.0	16.1	-16.08
Kevin Willis	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-7	7	16.9	17.1	-0.25	16.1	15.7	0.38
Doug Christie	39	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	16.7	17.2	-0.48	14.3	17.1	-2.74
Charles Oakley	66	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	16.1	19.9	-3.80	15.2	17.8	-2.56
Dell Curry	26	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	19.3	16.1	3.20	16.8	15.5	1.30
Tracy McGrady	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-2	-3	16.7	17.8	-1.10	15.5	17.0	-1.49
Vince Carter	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	17.5	15.5	1.96	16.8	12.6	4.21
Dee Brown	18	17	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	0	-7	16.6	17.1	-0.50	16.9	15.6	1.30
Antonio Davis	71	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	5	-17	17.8	13.8	3.95	16.4	13.8	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.27,0	92.8%
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	92.8%
PHI 92, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.02,0	92.2%