NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	8.3 [205]		MVP	Rick Brunson (POR): +11.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	1.8 [609]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -19.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.1	-0.01	0.12	0.01	9	64%	0.19	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Derek Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.05	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.05
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	15	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Dale Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	7	47%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.16
Damon Stoudamire	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	14	45%	-0.06	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Art Long	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	16	65%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	16	39%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.16	-0.01	12	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.18	0.00	8	50%	-0.14	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.7	2.0	26.1	14.7	26.1	1.7	35.0	153.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +52.3%

POR +0.6%

POR +21.1%

SEA -25.9%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.6	100.0	93.3	102.3
season	16.0	16.0		105.0	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	16.6	19.3	15.8	16.7
SEA	14.1	16.9	13.5	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	40	38	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-6	18	16.9	16.6	0.29	16.6	14.3	2.23
Rasheed Wallace	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	16.4	17.8	-1.33	15.6	14.3	1.21
Dale Davis	68	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	6	-6	17.0	15.8	1.24	15.0	16.2	-1.17
Bonzi Wells	59	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	15.7	18.6	-2.85	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Damon Stoudamire	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	15.8	19.8	-4.04	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Rick Brunson	25	23	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-1	8	19.0	15.8	3.22	15.7	15.2	0.49
Derek Anderson	40	40	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	2	2	16.7	16.7	-0.02	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Shawn Kemp	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	1	4	18.0	15.8	2.19	15.7	15.0	0.75
Scottie Pippen	39	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	8	-10	16.9	16.6	0.33	14.4	16.0	-1.60

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	41	40	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-7	8	14.7	15.8	-1.16	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Art Long	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-6	6	19.6	15.0	4.56	20.3	16.5	3.88
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-7	8	15.0	16.0	-1.03	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Earl Watson	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.12	19.3	15.8	3.52
Gary Payton	82	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.0	18.1	-3.11	16.5	18.4	-1.83
Brent Barry	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.80	16.1	18.7	-2.56
Rashard Lewis	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	15.2	15.7	-0.53	16.3	18.9	-2.54
Desmond Mason	48	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	16.3	14.1	2.24	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Predrag Drobnjak	43	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.7	14.9	0.83	17.9	15.6	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0	92.8%
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	92.5%
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	92.4%