NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	7.5 [308]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +11.3%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	2.1 [276]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -37.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.08	0.06	8	89%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.01	8	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.38,-0.37	-0.23	-0.12	0.02	25	36%	-0.24	5	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.18	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	11	56%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	13	37%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.11	0.03	14	53%	-0.02	5	-0.21	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	28.3	16.7	22.3	2.4	35.2	129.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.2%

DET -26.4%

PHI +9.9%

PHI +22.0%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	18.2	15.5	104.5	96.5	101.6
season	15.3	16.8		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	17.1	14.6	15.4	15.0
DET	16.9	18.0	20.7	17.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	57	55	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-2	13	14.6	15.6	-0.96	18.9	16.9	2.00
Aaron McKie	55	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-3	15	15.4	14.2	1.19	18.0	18.5	-0.47
Allen Iverson	79	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	14.6	18.1	-3.48	17.6	22.1	-4.47
Keith Van Horn	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	15.1	14.7	0.41	18.2	18.0	0.19
Eric Snow	70	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	7	-5	15.7	12.3	3.41	17.9	19.4	-1.58
John Salmons	18	17	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	4	1	13.0	15.5	-2.50	19.4	17.8	1.57
Greg Buckner	39	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	14.6	15.3	-0.76	19.6	17.0	2.63
Todd MacCulloch	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	15.8	14.6	1.23	17.4	18.5	-1.18
Brian Skinner	38	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	11	-13	14.8	15.1	-0.30	17.4	18.7	-1.36

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-6	3	18.5	17.9	0.68	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	76	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-11	13	17.6	22.6	-5.03	14.9	15.6	-0.63
Chucky Atkins	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	20.9	17.3	3.58	16.4	14.5	1.89
Jon Barry	23	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	19.3	17.7	1.57	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Mehmet Okur	18	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	19.5	17.8	1.71	16.2	14.7	1.55
Chauncey Billups	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	17.3	20.9	-3.58	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Richard Hamilton	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	17.2	21.6	-4.47	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Corliss Williamson	49	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-3	-3	17.9	18.5	-0.68	15.0	15.0	0.03
Ben Wallace	74	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	5	-19	19.0	13.2	5.79	15.7	10.9	4.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	93.1%
SEA 114, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	92.6%
PHI 89, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%