NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	7.0 [449]		MVP	John Salmons (PHI): +10.9%
Orlando Magic	81		Comeback	2.3 [287]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -23.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	63%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Michael Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.07
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	8	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	19	38%	-0.11	4	-0.11	9	67%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.05
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	11	48%	-0.03	5	-0.14	7	29%	-0.09
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	16	42%	-0.04	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	32.2	16.8	25.2	2.5	41.3	144.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.6%

ORL -7.0%

PHI +12.9%

PHI +27.2%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	17.3	15.6	104.7	95.3	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		104.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	16.6	17.3	15.7	16.6
ORL	19.9	14.7	17.9	17.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	15.9	20.1	-4.24	17.6	15.9	1.72
John Salmons	76	75	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	1	6	16.4	18.2	-1.81	17.0	19.3	-2.29
Andre Iguodala	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	16.2	19.2	-2.99	17.3	17.2	0.06
Chris Webber	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	16.2	18.7	-2.51	16.8	19.7	-2.98
Samuel Dalembert	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	16.5	16.8	-0.31	17.8	16.5	1.35
Kyle Korver	31	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	3	2	16.4	16.7	-0.34	16.9	17.5	-0.66
Steven Hunter	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	18.8	15.5	3.33	18.0	16.9	1.12
Michael Bradley	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	20.9	16.2	4.64	19.3	17.1	2.18
Lou Williams	16	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	19.4	15.9	3.50	16.5	17.5	-0.99

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	16.0	18.1	-2.06	16.9	16.4	0.55
Travis Diener	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	17.7	17.2	0.47	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Pat Garrity	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-6	4	16.9	18.0	-1.18	15.9	17.8	-1.85
Tony Battie	41	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-6	4	17.5	17.1	0.35	17.9	15.2	2.69
DeShawn Stevenson	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-7	6	16.8	20.8	-3.99	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Steve Francis	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	17.6	15.5	2.10	16.9	14.5	2.36
Dwight Howard	71	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	2	-12	18.0	13.9	4.10	17.1	14.3	2.82
Hedo Turkoglu	71	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	6	-20	17.6	15.8	1.79	15.4	23.2	-7.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.23,0.01,0	92.3%
PHI 92, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.02,0	92.3%
MIA 85, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	91.9%