NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	7.4 [360]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +24.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	2.8 [546]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -25.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	14	71%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.10	0.00	3	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.08	0.09	0.05	16	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	17	82%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	11	27%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	0.03	17	57%	0.22	2	-0.14	8	75%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	7	76%	0.21	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	16	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Mardy Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	16	34%	-0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.8	30.3	16.7	25.8	2.6	38.2	143.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.2%

LAC -14.6%

LAC -2.0%

PHI +31.2%

PHI +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAC	NBA	PHI	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.5	109.9	100.0	106.4
season	15.5	15.7		105.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		109.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	14.2	14.9	15.1	15.3
LAC	16.6	17.7	15.7	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	53	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-4	16	15.5	15.0	0.43	14.4	18.5	-4.08
Andre Iguodala	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	1	6	15.0	19.3	-4.35	15.8	21.5	-5.67
Andre Miller	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	0	8	15.0	16.4	-1.41	16.1	16.7	-0.64
Thaddeus Young	73	73	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.2	15.6	-0.35	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Lou Williams	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-1	10	15.6	14.9	0.69	16.1	16.3	-0.26
Willie Green	52	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	7	-6	15.2	15.4	-0.24	16.6	15.7	0.88
Royal Ivey	16	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	8	-8	16.4	15.0	1.41	16.7	16.1	0.64
Reggie Evans	15	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	5	-2	15.5	15.2	0.31	21.4	15.1	6.35
Marreese Speights	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	15.2	15.3	-0.03	18.2	15.9	2.37
Samuel Dalembert	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	16	-24	15.5	15.2	0.34	17.0	15.9	1.07

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	16.2	16.2	-0.06	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Paul Davis	31	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-5	2	17.5	15.5	1.94	15.3	15.2	0.09
Steve Novak	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-4	0	20.2	15.7	4.53	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Jason Hart	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	18.7	15.3	3.39	17.5	14.5	3.08
Baron Davis	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	15.5	18.4	-2.89	14.8	16.8	-1.93
Marcus Camby	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	15.5	19.5	-4.00	15.3	14.9	0.41
Al Thornton	82	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	15.9	18.8	-2.92	15.0	17.5	-2.48
Eric Gordon	84	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.3	25.7	-10.46	15.1	16.9	-1.75
Fred Jones	44	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	3	-14	17.6	14.9	2.67	16.0	14.6	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%
MEM 114, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.06,0,0	92.1%
MIN 89, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	91.8%