NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	6.7 [501]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +14.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.8 [708]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -11.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	14	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	12	70%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	10	73%	0.24	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	8	78%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	80%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	4	89%	0.12	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.03	0.09	15	69%	0.10	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	14	64%	0.14	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	80%	0.09	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	11	33%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.3	15.5	23.3	2.7	38.2	136.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +60.1%

MIN -13.9%

MIN -3.8%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.9	118.8	110.4	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		103.4	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.5	15.5	15.9	13.5	15.5
MIN	14.6	15.2	16.1	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	15.2	16.4	-1.24	14.4	15.0	-0.65
JaMychal Green	47	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-5	18	15.5	15.4	0.10	15.4	13.7	1.69
Courtney Lee	52	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	-5	18	16.0	14.8	1.27	15.0	13.9	1.07
Mike Conley	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	3	2	15.0	16.4	-1.32	14.6	14.5	0.11
Mario Chalmers	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	1	6	14.7	16.0	-1.25	13.5	15.2	-1.77
Jeff Green	71	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	6	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.7	14.1	0.65
Zach Randolph	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	16.5	14.1	2.33	14.4	14.7	-0.26
Matt Barnes	25	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.5	14.6	-0.03
Tony Allen	50	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	19	-30	14.9	16.1	-1.17	14.1	15.0	-0.92

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	15.8	13.6	2.20	16.4	14.8	1.61
Zach LaVine	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	12.8	15.8	-2.99	14.3	16.3	-1.94
Kevin Martin	34	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-6	4	14.8	14.4	0.39	16.4	15.0	1.43
Kevin Garnett	45	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-8	8	14.8	14.4	0.40	16.4	14.5	1.89
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-9	10	14.6	14.5	0.04	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Andrew Wiggins	73	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-9	10	14.6	14.2	0.43	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Shabazz Muhammad	34	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	14.1	14.8	-0.66	15.9	15.2	0.72
Gorgui Dieng	33	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	1	-10	14.5	14.6	-0.04	16.0	15.2	0.80
Nemanja Bjelica	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.4	14.8	-0.40	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Andre Miller	66	67	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	9	-26	14.8	14.0	0.79	14.9	16.7	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.16,0.05,0	92.4%
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	92.2%
MIL 91, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	92.2%