inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 91 Excitement7.3 [288] MVPErsan Ilyasova (MIL): +22.7%
Miami Heat 82 Comeback1.8 [159] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -17.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.230.130.09-0.00876%0.2300.005100%0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.001100%0.101-0.032100%0.02
Andrew Bogut0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.01865%0.122-0.07475%0.02
Shaun Livingston0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.040.00756%0.123-0.084100%0.03
Tobias Harris0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.010.00250%0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Jon Leuer-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.03-0.00520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.02-0.021338%0.104-0.1600%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.040.020.052043%-0.051-0.021392%0.02
Drew Gooden-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00617%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.040.02733%-0.081-0.04475%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.00475%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.030.031857%0.093-0.081392%0.06
Joel Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00233%0.0000.002100%0.02
Dexter Pittman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00337%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00125%-0.011-0.05250%-0.02
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.00525%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.050.021466%0.188-0.27786%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18-0.18-0.14-0.05-0.011439%-0.046-0.143100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.336.515.327.01.633.5141.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +29.5%
MIA -0.3%
MIA -5.1%
MIL +20.5%
MIL +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game16.815.215.6101.191.1102.8
season14.615.5103.8105.6
opponent15.815.698.8103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.116.914.022.216.8
MIA15.513.716.015.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Jackson45460.56-0.060.620.2112-31518.415.23.2216.014.51.52
Shaun Livingston72720.50-0.000.510.1811-21317.215.02.2115.813.12.65
Luc Mbah a Moute49510.480.020.470.2872517.515.91.5416.014.31.72
Brandon Jennings67670.430.070.350.2272516.417.7-1.3115.215.4-0.21
Andrew Bogut60610.260.240.020.2318-716.118.0-1.9016.013.72.28
Ersan Ilyasova45430.170.33-0.15-0.0372516.117.5-1.4012.917.3-4.41
Drew Gooden25240.120.38-0.260.0045-117.416.50.8815.315.20.14
Tobias Harris660.090.41-0.320.0327-520.716.54.1810.815.5-4.71
Beno Udrih24250.070.43-0.350.0709-918.016.31.6814.415.6-1.15
Mike Dunleavy1716-0.000.50-0.51-0.0009-914.517.3-2.8314.415.4-1.04
Jon Leuer99-0.010.51-0.52-0.0109-915.416.9-1.4714.915.3-0.38
Carlos Delfino3232-0.170.67-0.850.06-817-2515.017.8-2.7914.715.5-0.75

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddy Curry11100.06-0.560.62-0.033-121517.414.92.4316.416.8-0.41
Joel Anthony3333-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-101115.615.00.6414.118.3-4.22
James Jones3938-0.00-0.500.490.02-1-8715.814.80.9515.018.1-3.10
Dexter Pittman99-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-8713.715.4-1.7413.117.2-4.06
Mario Chalmers6766-0.24-0.260.03-0.21-1-8715.115.6-0.4516.318.1-1.85
Norris Cole2324-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-8-1-715.615.10.4518.116.31.85
Shane Battier4849-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-5-4-114.516.1-1.6617.915.42.48
LeBron James7272-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.25-4-5115.115.8-0.6816.318.6-2.31
Mike Miller3534-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-90-914.415.8-1.3619.215.33.87
Chris Bosh6968-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.21-7-2-515.215.2-0.0118.112.75.35
Udonis Haslem4447-0.530.03-0.55-0.15-134-1716.014.51.4616.816.8-0.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 97, IND 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,093.3%
NYK 86, ATL 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,093.1%
CHI 107, DAL 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,092.9%