inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 107 Excitement7.2 [414] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +14.7%
Dallas Mavericks 100 Comeback2.4 [294] LVPJosh Howard (DAL): -20.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.040.09-0.022162%0.234-0.09683%0.02
Ben Gordon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.000.04-0.041450%0.111-0.034100%0.03
Eric Piatkowski0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,00.05-0.000.051472%0.124-0.12475%-0.01
Adrian Griffin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jared Reiner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00471%0.032-0.05667%-0.02
Chris Duhon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.030.01450%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09-0.06-0.000.031246%-0.013-0.072100%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00836%-0.1100.00633%-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.031646%0.0400.003100%0.03
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Calvin Booth00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.021100%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03-0.030.03-0.020.042057%0.063-0.094100%0.02
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01465%0.002-0.04956%-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.050.01-0.06-0.012448%-0.0500.008100%0.06
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.01625%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.11-0.080.011444%-0.084-0.13450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.632.516.424.22.435.3137.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +48.9%
DAL -9.7%
CHI +22.6%
DAL -13.2%
CHI +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDALNBACHIDALNBA
this game15.214.015.5110.3100.0104.0
season15.114.9100.1108.2
opponent15.515.4103.498.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.716.014.014.415.2
DAL14.713.415.412.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon58600.55-0.050.600.3570716.114.02.0713.614.6-1.05
Luol Deng93960.52-0.020.540.2210-31315.314.21.0314.37.56.79
Eddy Curry73760.470.030.440.248-1915.215.5-0.3514.113.70.46
Tyson Chandler54560.390.110.280.2161514.316.4-2.0413.414.9-1.51
Kirk Hinrich78800.340.160.190.1761514.717.6-2.9113.815.0-1.22
Othella Harrington38380.140.36-0.230.1116-515.415.10.3515.413.22.22
Chris Duhon50510.060.44-0.380.0607-715.415.10.2915.013.01.92
Eric Piatkowski11120.050.45-0.400.0507-714.515.3-0.8811.514.4-2.86
Adrian Griffin13130.040.46-0.41-0.0125-314.815.3-0.4515.313.81.48
Jared Reiner77-0.020.52-0.540.04-29-1118.615.03.5910.614.3-3.71
Andres Nocioni1011-0.040.54-0.590.04-310-1317.515.02.5212.614.2-1.55

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth770.02-0.520.55-0.011-8913.914.0-0.1815.615.20.36
Shawn Bradley13140.01-0.510.520.010-7714.913.91.0416.315.11.23
Darrell Armstrong11110.00-0.500.500.000-7716.413.72.6314.615.3-0.68
Devin Harris2523-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-7714.413.90.5616.015.00.94
Alan Henderson1715-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-4112.214.4-2.1514.315.4-1.07
Dirk Nowitzki8885-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-4-3-113.716.3-2.6315.314.70.56
Michael Finley8987-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.31-3-4114.212.81.3515.314.31.04
Jason Terry8684-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.28-70-713.517.2-3.7115.314.50.81
Erick Dampier8077-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-92-1114.611.72.8415.514.11.43
Josh Howard8482-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-103-1314.014.2-0.2014.519.3-4.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 106, VAN 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0,093.3%
LAL 110, CHA 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,093.0%
MIL 91, MIA 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.02,092.9%